Cal at USC - 10/27/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
California Golden Bears (4-3) at USC Trojans (4-3)
College Football: Thursday, October 27, 2016 at 10:30 pm (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: USC Trojans -16.5 -- Over/Under: 75.5 See the Latest Odds
The Cal Golden Bears and USC Trojans square off in a key Pac-12 college football game Thursday night at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on ESPN.
The Cal Golden Bears look for their first road victory of the season to move that step closer to clinching a bowl appearance. The Cal Golden Bears have lost seven straight road games overall. Davis Webb is completing 62.2 percent of his passes for 2,581 yards, 27 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Webb has four or more touchdown passes in six of the Golden Bears seven games. Chad Hansen and Demetris Robertson have combined for 1,147 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while Melquise Stovall has 30 receptions. The Cal Golden Bears ground game is averaging 175 yards per contest, and Khalfani Muhammad leads the way with 525 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Cal is allowing 41.3 points and 488.3 yards per game. Raymond Davison leads the Cal Golden Bears with 52 tackles, Cameron Saffle has 2.5 sacks and Evan Rambo has one interception.
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The USC Trojans look to build on their three-game winning streak and remain unbeaten at home. The USC Trojans have won six straight home games overall. Sam Darnold is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,334 yards, 13 touchdowns and two interceptions. Darnold and Max Browne have combined for 15 touchdown passes this season. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Darreus Rogers have combined for 922 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Deontay Burnett has 23 receptions. The USC Trojans ground game is averaging 177 yards per contest, and Justin Davis leads the way with 476 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, USC is allowing 24 points and 370.7 yards per game. Cameron Smith leads the USC Trojans with 50 tackles, Porter Gustin has two sacks and Iman Marshall has two interceptions.
The Golden Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Golden Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Southern California and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings overall.
The last two meetings between Cal and USC were decided by eight or less points. USC is obviously the better team with a better defense, but the Cal Golden Bears are an offensive machine that's scored 41 or more points in eight of their last nine games. This is simply too many points to give a Cal offense that's going to move the football and find the end zone. The Golden Bears can't get stops, but history shows they're going to put points on the board.
I'll take Cal and the points.