Boise State vs. San Jose State - 11/4/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Jose State Spartans (3-6) at Boise State Broncos (7-1)
College Football: Friday, November 4, 2016 at 10:15 pm (Albertsons Stadium)
The Line: Boise State Broncos -26.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The San Jose State Spartans will travel to Albertsons Stadium to take on the 24th ranked Boise State Broncos this Friday night in College Football action.
The San Jose State Spartans improved to 3-6 (2-3 MW) on the season after defeating the UNLV Rebels, 30-24, this past Saturday. San Jose State used a strong 1st half to take a 27-10 lead at halftime and was able to hang on late to secure the victory. San Jose State outgained UNLV by a 424-402 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Spartans was Tre Hartley who had 2 TD’s and 104 yards on 5 receptions. On the season, San Jose State is averaging 23.1 ppg on 362.2 total yards per game (215.1 passing, 147.1 rushing). Offensively, the Spartans are led by QB Kenny Potter who has completed 57.1% of his passes for 11 TD and 6 INT while averaging 193.0 passing yds/game. Potter’s main receiving targets has been Tre Hartley (3.7 rec/g, 63.6 yds/g, 4 TD), Justin Holmes (2.7 rec/g, 47.9 yds/g, 2 TD), Tim Crawley (3.8 rec/g, 43.2 yds/g, 2 TD), and Billy Freeman (1.3 rec/g, 16.6 yds/g, TD). The Spartans backfield has been led by Zamore Zigler (10.7 att/g, 57.4 yds/g, 3 TD), Malik Roberson (8.2 att/g, 38.4 yds/g, TD), and Deontae Cooper (8.9 att/g, 36.8 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, San Jose State is allowing their opponents to average 35.1 ppg on 441.1 total yards per game (206.9 passing, 234.2 rushing). San Jose State has forced 16 turnovers and has an overall turnover margin of +2.
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The 24th ranked Boise State Broncos suffered their 1st loss of the season and dropped to 7-1 (3-1) on the season after being upset by the Wyoming Cowboys, 30-28, this past Saturday. Wyoming fought back from a 21-7 deficit early in the 2nd quarter and got a huge defensive play by Chase Appleby to force the winning safety with just 1:25 left in the game. Boise State was outgained by Wyoming by a 489-487 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. On the season, Boise State is averaging 33.5 ppg on 482.3 total yards per game (206.9 passing, 234.2 rushing). Offensively, the Broncos are led by RB Jeremy McNichols who has 14 rushing TD’s on the season and averages 132.3 rushing yards per game. McNichols also is a threat in the passing game as he has 4 receiving TD’s on the season while averaging 48.8 yds/game on 3.4 rec/g. QB Brett Rypien has completed 62.6% of his passes for 15 TD and 6 INT while averaging 294.9 passing yds/game. Thomas Sperbeck (6.9 rec/g, 111.3 yds/g, 7 TD), Cedrick Wilson (3.9 rec/g, 73.0 yds/g, 6 TD), and Chaz Anderson (2.8 rec/g, 35.5 yds/g) are the leading receivers for the Broncos. Defensively, Boise State is holding their opponents to an average of 21.6 ppg on 379.6 total yards per game (229.1 passing, 150.5 rushing). Boise State has only forced their opponents into committing 4 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -9.
The Spartans are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss however, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.
San Jose State got a much needed win against the UNLV Rebels however, continue to struggled to find answers on the defensive end as they rank 111th in scoring defense and 116th in rushing defense. Boise State must be disappointed that they couldn’t get out of Wyoming with a win however, the Broncos are still one of the best teams in the MW and come into this matchup with the 27th ranked scoring defense. Boise State has struggled ATS at home and can be beaten by the pass however, I think the Broncos come into this game angry and knowing that they can’t allow another slip-up to still have a chance to play in the MW Championship, I think Jeremy McNichols and the Broncos have a big game to cover this large home spread. Take Boise State to cover.