Cincinnati vs. BYU - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
BYU Cougars (4-4) at Cincinnati Bearcats (4-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Nippert Stadium)
The Line: Cincinnati Bearcats +8 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The BYU Cougars will travel to Nippert Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The BYU Cougars had their 3-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 4-4 on the season after being defeated by the 14th ranked Boise State Broncos on October 30th. BYU used two pick-six’s to get back into the game after falling behind 14-0 early, however, couldn’t convert a 44-yd FG in the closing seconds to pick up the victory. BYU was outgained by Boise State by a 571-322 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 5-0 margin. Leading the way for the Cougars was QB Taysom Hill who completed 21 of 41 passes for 187 yards while also adding a TD and 48 yards on the ground. On the season, BYU is averaging 28.0 ppg on 394.6 total yards per game (202.0 passing, 192.6 rushing). Offensively, BYU has been led by RB Jamaal Williams who had 10 TD’s on the season while averaging 117.8 yds/g on 20.6 att/g. Jamall Williams did miss the recent game against Boise State and is questionable currently for this matchup due to an ankle injury. QB Taysom Hill has completed 58.6 % of his passes for 9 TD and 7 INT while averaging 200.9 passing yds/game. Nick Kurtz (3.8 rec/g, 38.8 yds/g, TD), Colby Pearson (3.3 rec/g, 31.5 yds/g, 2 TD), Jonah Trinnaman (2.8 rec/g, 31.1 yds/g, TD), and Moroni Laulu-Pututau (2.4 rec/g, 25.0 yds/g, 2 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Cougars. Defensively, BYU is allowing their opponents to average 25.5 ppg on 394.6 total yards per game (202.0 passing, 192.6 rushing). BYU has forced an incredible 21 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +11.
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The Cincinnati Bearcats couldn’t follow-up their impressive win against East Carolina and fell to 4-4 (1-4 AAC) after being defeated by the Temple Owls, 34-13, this past Saturday. Cincinnati used a strong 2nd quarter to fight back in the game as the Bearcats found themselves down by just a 17-13 margin at halftime, however, Cincinnati had no answers on either side of the ball in the 2nd half and allowed the Owls to pull away for the victory. Cincinnati was outgained by Temple by a 474-186 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for the Bearcats was QB Gunner Kiel who completed 15 of 27 passes for 119 yards and 2 TD’s. On the season, Cincinnati is averaging 22.8 ppg on 386.1 total yards per game (263.5 passing, 122.6 rushing). Offensively, the Bearcats have gone with QB Gunner Kiel over their past 2 games. Kiel has completed 52.6% of his passes on the season for 6 TD’s and no INT’s while averaging 102.8 passing yds/game. The Bearcats backfield is led by Tion Green (12.8 att/g, 59.6 yds/g, 2 TD) and Mike Boone (12.9 att/g, 45.8 yds/g, 2 TD). Devin Gray (4.9 rec/g, 70.4 yds/g, 3 TD), Kahlil Lewis (4.6 rec/g, 59.3 yds/g, 5 TD), and Nate Cole (5.4 rec/g, 53.0 yds/g, 4 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Bearcats. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing their opponents to average 25.6 ppg on 436.3 total yards per game (256.9 passing, 179.4 rushing). Cincinnati has forced their opponents into committing 19 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover ratio of +3.
The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Bearcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in November however, just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
BYU comes into this matchup as the best 4-loss team in the country as the Cougars losses have come against Utah, UCLA, West Virginia, and Boise State with those losses being by just a combined 8 points. Cincinnati seemed to find an answer to their offensive troubles when they put Gunner Kiel back behind center against East Carolina, however, it was short-lived as once again, the Bearcats found trouble generating offense against Temple. Cincinnati is a much better team at home however, with teams being able to focus on the Cincinnati passing game as the Bearcats rushing attack is ranked just 115th in the country, I think BYU will be able to limit Cincinnati’s offensive production and generate a few turnovers that will help them cover this road spread. Take BYU to cover.