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Maryland Terrapins at Michigan Wolverines - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Maryland Terrapins (5-2) at Michigan Wolverines (8-0)

College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Michigan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan Wolverines -26.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

Coming up on Saturday from Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, we’ve got a fun Big 10 matchup on tap in Week 10 of the college football season as the Maryland Terrapins visit the Michigan Wolverines. 

Maryland enters play here with a 5-3 record on the season, and they’re fresh off a tough 42-36 loss to Indiana that was their third defeat in the last four games. In that one, Terrapins QB Perry Hills went 22-of-33 for 248 yards, two touchdowns and a pick. Ty Johnson had a great rushing outing for Maryland with 13 carries for 142 yards and a TD, and DJ Moore led the receiving charge with five catches for 81 yards and a TD. 

Maryland Terrapins at Michigan Wolverines - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Over the course of the Maryland season, Hills has put up a 93-of-140 line for 1070 yards and 10 touchdowns, while Johnson leads the team in rushing on 60 carries for 624 yards and four scores. Moore is tops in the receiving game with 28 catches for 400 yards and five TDs. 

On the Michigan side, they’re coming into Saturday’s game with a perfect 8-0 record and a No. 2 national ranking following a 32-23 win over in-state rival Michigan State last weekend. In that game, Michigan QB Wilton Speight had a meandering day on 16-of-25 passing for 244 yards and a TD, but was helped out by 192 total rushing yards led by two carries for 53 yards by Eddie McDoom. Amara Darboh had a nice day as well on eight catches for 165 yards to lead the Wolverines in receiving. 

On the year so far, Speight is 130-of-207 for 1691 yards and 13 touchdowns, and De’Veon Smith leads the Michigan rushing charge with 90 carries for 450 yards and five touchdowns. Darboh is far and away the Wolverines’ best receiver on 38 catches for 664 yards and five TDs. 

Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss, and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight-up loss. Maryland is also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game, and 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. 

Meanwhile, Michigan is 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss, and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 rushing yards in their previous game. Michigan is also 1-4 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record, and the over is 5-0 in the Wolverines’ last five games in November. 

It’s really no secret that Michigan likes to pound their opponents into submission via a varied and deep rushing attack. The Wolverines have four runners with at least 348 yards, and 18 touchdowns between them. Aside from that, Michigan relies on a series of high-percentage throws to a few sure-handed wide receivers and lets the defense do the rest. The Wolverines have given up 14 points or fewer six times this season, and Maryland will likely make number seven. Still, with that gargantuan betting line, I think the Terrapins can cover the spread.

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Maryland Terrapins +26.5

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