San Diego State vs. Hawaii - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Hawaii Warriors (4-5) at San Diego State Aztecs (7-1)
College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Qualcomm Stadium)
The Line: San Diego State Aztecs -21.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors will travel to Qualcomm Stadium to take on the San Diego State Aztecs this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors fell to 4-5 (3-2 MW) on the season after being defeated by the New Mexico Lobos, 28-21, this past Saturday. Hawai’i did a nice job fighting back into the game after falling behind 14-0 early in the game, however, couldn’t find the end zone after a New Mexico defensive TD with 8:53 gave the Lobos a 28-21 lead with just under 10 minutes to play. Hawai’i was outgained by New Mexico by a 321-298 margin and went just 2 for 13 on 3rd down attempts. Leading the way for the Rainbow Warriors was WR Marcus Kemp who had 89 yards on 8 receptions. On the season, Hawai’i is averaging 29.8 ppg on 405.4 total yards per game (228.9 passing, 176.6 rushing). Offensviely, the Rainbow Warriors have been led by QB Dru Brown who had completed 61.2% of his passes for 9 TD and 3 INT while averaging 177.0 passing yds/game. Marcus Kemp (5.6 rec/g, 97.3 yds/g, 6 TD), John Ursua (3.4 rec/g, 45.4 yds/g, 2 TD), Dylan Collie (2.2 rec/g, 19.6 yds/g, TD) and Metuisela `Unga (1.0 rec/g, 18.0 yds/g, 3 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Rainbow Warriors. Leading the Hawai’i rushing attack has been Diocemy Saint Juste (13.3 att/g, 76.8 yds/g, 2 TD), Paul Harris (5.7 att/g, 37.8 yds/g, 2 TD), and Steven Lakalaka (8.22 att/g, 37.8 yds/g, 10 TD). Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing their opponents to average 36.3 ppg on 460.3 total yards per game (205.2 passing, 255.1 rushing). Hawai’i has committed 17 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -5.
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The San Diego State Aztecs won their 4th straight game and improved to 7-1 (4-0 MW) on the season after defeating the Utah State Aggies, 40-13, this past Saturday. Utah State had no answers for Donnel Pumphrey and had little trouble securing the victory after taking a 20-7 lead at halftime. San Diego State outgained Utah State by a 414-252 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Aztecs was Donnel Pumphrey who finished the game with 223 rushing yards on 32 carries. On the season, San Diego is averaging 33.4 ppg on 417.8 total yards per game (1464.6 passing, 271.1 rushing). Offensively, the Aztecs are led by RB Donnel Pumphrey who has 13 TD’s on the season and is the leading rusher in College Football at 183.6 yds/game. Also in the backfield with Pumphrey is Rashaad Penny (10.4 att/g, 58.5 yds/g, 6 TD), and Juwan Washington (4.1 att/g, 26.1 yds/g, 2 TD). QB Christian Chapman has completed 62.8% of his passes for 10 TD and 3 INT while averaging 145.6 passing yds/game. Mikah Holder (2.1 rec/g, 51.1 yds/g, 3 TD) and Rashaad Penny (1.1 rec/g, 22.6 yds/g, 3 TD) are the leading receivers for the Aztecs. Defensively, San Diego State is holding their opponents to an average of 17.0 ppg on 280.5 total yards per game (189.8 passing, 90.8 rushing). San Diego State has forced 14 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +7.
The Rainbow Warriors are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass however, are just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The Aztecs are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Hawai’i has to upset that they couldn’t get a home victory against New Mexico however, the Rainbow Warriors have to be happy with their defensive effort in the loss as they held the top-ranked Lobos rushing offense (357 rushing yds/game) to just 257 yards. San Diego State is showing way they are the top ranked team in the Mountain West as they have the best rusher in all of College Football in Donnel Pumphrey and come into this matchup with the 10th ranked scoring defense. San Diego State is the clear team to beat in the Mountain West right now however, I think the Rainbow Warriors are a bit better than what the public give them credit for and as I think Marcus Kemp will have some success against passing defense of the Aztecs, I’m going to take the Hawai’i and the points in this one.