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Texas Tech vs. Texas - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas Longhorns (4-4) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Jones AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders +3.5 -- Over/Under: 80 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The Texas Longhorns and Texas Tech Red Raiders clash Saturday in Big 12 college football at Jones AT&T Stadium.

The Texas Longhorns look for their first road victory of the season to get a game above a .500 record. The Texas Longhorns have lost eight of their last 11 road games. Shane Buechele is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 2,013 yards, 17 touchdowns and six interceptions. Buechele has two or more touchdown passes in four straight games. Armanti Foreman and Devin Duvernay have combined for 624 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Dorian Leonard has 14 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 226.5 yards per contest, and D’Onta Foreman leads the way with 1,105 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 32.8 points and 461.9 yards per game. Anthony Wheeler leads the Texas Longhorns with 60 tackles, Breckyn Hager has five sacks and Dylan Haines has two interceptions.

Texas Tech vs. Texas - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Tech Red Raiders also look for a big victory in order to get a game above a .500 record. The Texas Tech Red Raiders have won five of their last eight home games. Patrick Mahomes II is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 3,519 yards, 28 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Mahomes has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Jonathan Giles and Cameron Batson have combined for 1,412 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns while Keke Coutee has 28 receptions. The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 102.7 yards per contest, and Demarcus Felton leads the way with 289 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 41.4 points and 518.4 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 53 tackles, Kris Williams has four sacks and Keenon Ward has one interception.

The Longhorns are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS win. The Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in November. The road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

I'm not sure why the Texas Longhorns continue to get respect from oddmakers, but they still have a lot to prove on the road. After all, the Longhorns have lost eight of their last 11 games on the road, so winning in Texas Tech isn't going to be some cakewalk. Mahomes is expected to play and he's likely going to light this Texas defense up. This is a game where neither team plays much defense and the winner could be the team that has the ball last. I'm taking the Texas Tech Red Raiders in a game they could very well win outright. 

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Texas Tech Red Raiders +3.5

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