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Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels - 11/10/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

North Carolina Tar Heels (7-2) at Duke Blue Devils (3-6)

College Football: Thursday, November 10, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Wallace Wade Stadium)

The Line: Duke Blue Devils +10.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

Coming up on Thursday, November 10 fro Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, we’ve got Week 11 college football action in the ACC between the North Carolina Tar Heels and the Duke Blue Devils. 

North Carolina comes into this matchup ranked No. 18 nationally with a solid 7-2 record on the year. The Tar Heels’ last game was a 48-20 victory over Georgia Tech this past Saturday. In that game, North Carolina QB Mitch Trubisky came away with a 20-of-32 line for 329 yards and a TD, while RB Elijah Hood held it down on the ground with 12 carries for 168 yards and three scores. Bug Howard also posted a great day for the Tar Heels with six catches for 120 yards and a TD. 

Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels - 11/10/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

So far this season, Trubisky is 223-of-317 for 2707 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Hood leads North Carolina on 108 carries for 644 yards and eight TDs. Ryan Switzer is tops in the receiving game for the Tar Heels with 70 catches for 728 yards and three touchdowns this year. 

Over on the Duke side, they’re entering play here with a 3-6 record. The Blue Devils have dropped their last three games, most recently a 24-21 heartbreaker against Virginia Tech. In that matchup, Duke QB Daniel Jones went 18-of-31 for 148 yards in the air, and also led the Blue Devils in rushing with 18 carries for 99 yards and two scores. Aaron Young was Duke’s lead receiver with four catches for 48 yards. 

On the year thus far, Jones is 186-of-300 for 2037 yards and an 11:9 TD:INT mark, and Jela Duncan leads Duke with 88 carries for 450 yards and six scores. TJ Rahming is tops in the Blue Devils’ receiving game with 42 catches for 409 yards and one TD. 

The Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. North Carolina is also 4-1 ATS in their last five games in November, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. 

As for Duke, they’re 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight-up loss, and 4-0 ATS versus a team with a winning record. Duke is also 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. 

Duke has lost three in a row and six of their last eight, but they are making the games interesting. The Blue Devils have lost by 10 points or fewer in their last three games, including three points each in their last two. As for North Carolina, they’re on a three-game win streak and have scored 83 points in their last two outings combined. The Tar Heels offense seems to be humming right now, and though Duke should come out strong after a tough loss, I think North Carolina can cover.

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North Carolina Tar Heels -10.5

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