Georgia Southern vs. Louisiana-Lafayette - 11/10/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (3-5) at Georgia Southern Eagles (4-5)
College Football: Thursday, November 10, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Paulson Stadium)
The Line: Georgia Southern Eagles -10 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns and Georgia Southern Eagles meet Thursday night in a Sun Belt college football game at Allen E. Paulson Stadium on ESPNU.
The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns look for their second road victory to get a game away from a .500 record. The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns must win three of their final four games to become bowl eligible. Anthony Jennings is completing 62.1 percent of his passes for 1,442 yards, nine touchdowns and seven interceptions. Jennings has one or less touchdown pass in four straight games. Al Riles and Ja'Marcus Bradley have combined for 677 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Keenan Barnes has 23 receptions. The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns ground game is averaging 172.3 yards per contest, and Elijah McGuire leads the way with 727 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Louisiana Lafayette is allowing 27.3 points and 384.1 yards per game. Tre'maine Lightfoot leads the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns with 76 tackles, Joe Dillon has six sacks and Simeon Thomas has two interceptions.
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The Georgia Southern Eagles are in need of a bounce back victory after losing five of their last six games. The Georgia Southern Eagles have to win two of their final three games to become bowl eligible. Kevin Ellison is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 713 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. Ellison has one or less touchdown pass in 10 of his last 11 games. Myles Campbell and BJ Johnson III have combined for 642 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Montay Crockett has 17 receptions. The Georgia Southern Eagles ground game is averaging 242.1 yards per contest, and Matt Breida leads the way with 506 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Georgia Southern is allowing 25.7 points and 393.6 yards per game. Ironhead Gallon leads the Georgia Southern Eagles with 81 tackles, Tre Griffin has two sacks and Darius Jones Jr. has two interceptions.
The Ragin' Cajuns are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. The Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November. The under is 11-5 in Eagles last 16 games overall and the under is 3-0-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 4 games overall.
Georgia Southern should be the favorite given that it's at home and has a ground game that's tough to stop. However, I'm not laying double-digit points with a team that's lost five of its last six games and has failed to cover four straight at home. Louisiana Lafayette isn't a good football team and has had trouble covering in its ownright, but this is more of a fade against the line. Too many points to lay with a football team that's not that good.