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North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils - 11/10/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

North Carolina Tar Heels (7-2) at Duke Blue Devils (3-6)

College Football: Thursday, November 10, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Wallace Wade Stadium)

The Line: Duke Blue Devils +10.5 -- Over/Under: 54 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPNU

The North Carolina Tar Heels will travel to play the Duke Blue Devils in an ACC college football rivalry game on Thursday night.

The Duke Blue Devils are 3-6 (0-5) this season after losing to Virginia Tech by a score of 24-21 in their last game. Duke has lost three straight games and is still looking to win their first conference games. The Duke offense is averaging 24.1 points per game with 168 rushing yards and 230.9 passing yards per game. Daniel Jones is completing 62% of his passes for 2037 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions for Duke. Daniel Jones has rushed for 375 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Shaun Wilson has added 449 rushing yards and 3 scores for the Blue Devils. T.J. Rahming has caught 42 passes for 409 yards and 1 touchdown, while Johnathan Lloyd has added 23 catches for 232 yards and 2 touchdowns for Duke. The Duke defense is giving up 23.9 points per game with 177.4 rushing yards and 216.3 passing yards per game. Ben Humphreys has led the Duke defense with 81 tackles, 9 tackles for loss, 2.5 sacks, and 1 interception, while Corbin McCarthy has added 47 tackles, 10.5 tackles for loss, and 3.5 sacks. AJ Reed has gone 3-8 on field goals, with a long of 38 yards.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils - 11/10/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 7-2 (5-1) this season after beating Georgia Tech by a score of 48-20 in their last game. North Carolina has won their last three games and is currently tied for first in the ACC Coastal standings. The North Carolina offense is averaging 34.2 points per game with 152.9 rushing yards and 306.8 passing yards per game. Mitch Trubisky is completing 70.3% of his passes for 2707 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions for North Carolina. Elijah Hood has rushed for 644 yards and 8 touchdowns, while T.J. Logan has added 506 yards and 7 touchdowns for the Tar Heels. Ryan Switzer has caught 70 passes for 728 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Bug Howard has caught 42 passes for 658 yards and 5 scores for North Carolina. The North Carolina defense is giving up 26.2 points per game with 217.3 rushing yards and 192.9 passing yards per game. Andre Smith has led the UNC defense with 80 tackles, 5 tackles for loss, and 1 sack, while Nazair Jones has added 48 tackles, 6.5 tackles for loss, and 1.5 sacks. Nick Weiler has gone 10-14 on field goals, with a long of 54 yards.

North Carolina is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 4-1 in North Carolina’s last 5 games. Duke is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. The under is 5-0 in Duke’s last 5 home games. The home team is 5-2 ATS in these two teams last 7 meetings.

Duke has really struggled this season, but will be at home for this matchup. North Carolina has a better offense than Duke and should have no problem winning this game on the road. I like the North Carolina skill position players on offense and I am going with them in this game. 

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North Carolina Tar Heels -10.5

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