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Memphis vs. USF - 11/12/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USF Bulls (7-2) at Memphis Tigers (6-3)

College Football: Saturday, November 12, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Liberty Bowl)

The Line: Memphis Tigers +4 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN U

The South Florida Bulls will travel to Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers this Saturday night in College Football action.

The South Florida Bulls improved to 7-2 (4-1 AAC) on the season after defeating the 22nd ranked Navy Midshipmen, 52-45, on October 28th.  South Florida jumped out to an early 28-0 lead in the 1st quarter and was able to hang on for the victory after Navy made a strong comeback in the 4th quarter. South Florida outgained Navy by a 629-616 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulls was QB Quinton Flowers who completed 19 of 29 passes for 219 yards and 2 TD while also rushing for 176 yards and 2 TD on 13 carries. On the season, South Florida is averaging 43.4 ppg on 502.9 total yards per game (230.0 passing, 272.9 rushing). Offensively, South Florida is led by QB Quinton Flowers who has completed 59.4% of his passes for 17 TD and 5 INT while averaging 215.7 passing yds/game. Flowers also has 10 rushing TD’s on the season and is the Bulls leading rusher at 102.3 yds/game. In the backfield with Flowers is Marlon Mack (13.5 att/g, 98.0 yds/g, 11 TD) and D’Ernest Johnson (8.7 att/g, 47.6 yds/g, 6 TD). Rodney Adams (4.6 rec/g, 61.8 yds/g, 4 TD), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (2.0 rec/g, 33.8 yds/g, 4 TD), and D’Ernest Johnson (2.1 rec/g, 20.6 yds/g, 4 TD) are the leading receivers for the Bulls. Defensively, South Florida is allowing their opponents to average 30.2 ppg on 466.3 total yards per game (247.8 passing, 218.6 rushing). South Florida has forced their opponents into committing 12 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +2.

Memphis vs. USF - 11/12/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Memphis Tigers snapped their two game losing streak and improved to 6-3 (3-2 AAC) on the season after defeating the SMU Mustangs, 51-7, this past Saturday. Memphis had no problems finding the scoreboard early in this one and was able to pull away for the victory after taking a 38-7 halftime lead. Memphis outgained SMU by a 474-308 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin. Leading the way for Memphis was QB Riley Ferguson who completed 20 of 27 passes for 287 yards and 4 TD. On the season, Memphis is averaging 38.9 ppg on 449.2 total yards per game (293.3 passing, 155.9 rushing). Offensively, Memphis is led by QB Riley Ferguson who has completed 63.5% of his passes for 21 TD and 8 INT. The Tigers have an excellent receiving group which is led by Anthony Miller (6.3 rec/g, 102.7 yds/g, 7 TD), Phil Mayhue (3.1 rec/g, 46.8 yds/g, 2 TD), and Daniel Hurd (1.7 rec/g, 21.0 yds/g, TD). Leading the Tigers backfield has been Doroland Dorceus (9.9 att/g, 62.1 yds/g, 6 TD), Patrick Taylor Jr. (6.3 att/g, 39.9 yds/g, 2 TD), and Darrell Henderson (6.2 att/g, 38.6 yds/g, 3 TD). Defensively, Memphis is holding their opponents to an average of 24.9 ppg on 418.3 total yards per game (224.0 passing, 194.3 rushing). Memphis has forced their opponents into committing 23 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +7.

The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Tigers are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games in November however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

South Florida was able to rebound from their tough lost to Temple with an impressive victory over Navy. South Florida, as they displayed in the 1st quarter, has one of the most explosive offenses in the country and currently rank 9th in scoring offense and 16th in total offense. Memphis was able to get a nice victory over an SMU team that recently beat Houston, however, even with the convincing win against SMU, I’m still not sold on this Memphis team as outside of their win against Temple, the Tigers other 5 wins come against teams that are currently just 12-33 on the season. This has the potential to be a high scoring affair, however, as I have more faith in the South Florida offense, I’m going with the Bulls to cover this small road spread. Take South Florida to cover. 

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South Florida Bulls -4

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