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Colorado State vs. New Mexico - 11/19/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Mexico Lobos (7-3) at Colorado State Rams (5-5)

College Football: Saturday, November 19, 2016 at 10:15 pm (Hughes Stadium)

The Line: Colorado State Rams -4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 2

The New Mexico Lobos will travel to Hughes Stadium (CO) to take on the Colorado State Rams this Sunday night in College Football action.

The New Mexico Lobos won their 5th straight game and improved to 7-3 (5-1 MW) on the season after defeating the Utah State Aggies, 24-21, this past Saturday. Utah State used a big 2nd half in which they outscored the Aggies by a 18-7 margin to secure the comeback victory. New Mexico outgained Utah State by a 403-391 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Lobos was RB Teriyon Gipson who had 2 TD and 107 rushing yards on 18 carries. On the season, New Mexico is averaging 36.7 ppg on 458.7 total yards per game (110.9 passing, 347.8 rushing). Offensively, the Lobos are led by their rushing attack that ranks 1st in the country in rushing yds/g. Leading the rushing attack for New Mexico is Tyrone Owens (12.2 att/g, 92.7 yds/g, 6 TD), Teriyon Gipson (12.9 att/g, 115.5 yds/g, 10 TD) and Richard McQuarley (10.4 att/g, 44.5 yds/g, 12 TD). QB Austin Apodaca has completed 57.6% of his passes for 4 TD and 2 INT while averaging 75.4 passing yds/g. Q’ Drennan (1.0 rec/g, 23.5 yds/g, 2 TD), Patrick Reed (1.3 rec/g, 22.2 yds/g, TD), and Matt Quarells (1.1 rec/g, 18.0 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Lobos. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 30.5 ppg on 374.3 total yards per game (236.0 passing, 138.3 rushing).

Colorado State vs. New Mexico - 11/19/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado State Rams had their two-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 5-5 (3-3 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Air Force Falcons, 49-46, this past Saturday. Colorado State was driving down the field late in the game, however, a fumble by WR Michael Gallup with just 1:25 left to play erased any hopes for the Rams to secure the comeback win. Colorado State outgained Air Force by a 559-534 margin however, allowed Air Force to gain 485 rushing yards in the loss. Leading the way for Colorado State was WR Michael Gallup who had a TD and 213 yards on 13 receptions. On the season, Colorado State is averaging 29.7 ppg on 432.9 total yards per game (235.3 passing, 197.6 rushing). Offensively, the Rams have been led by the rushing trio of Dalyn Dawkins (13.3 att/g, 66.2 yds/g, 3 TD), Izzy Matthews (11.5 att/g, 49.4 yds/g, 9 TD), and Marvin Kinsey Jr. (6.9 att/g, 35.8 yds/g, 5 TD). QB Nick Stevens, who has completed 63.6% of his passes for 8 TD and 3 INT while averaging 159.6 passing yds/g has done a nice job since regaining his starting job after freshman Collin Hill was lost for the season due to injury. Michael Gallup (5.8 rec/g, 90.9 yds/g, 7 TD), Olabisi Johnson (2.0 rec/g, 34.0 yds/g, 2 TD), and Robert Ruiz (1.6 rec/g, 25.4 yds/g, 2 TD) are the leading receivers for the Rams. Defensively, Colorado State is allowing their opponents to average 27.2 ppg on 410.6 total yards per game (202.8 passing, 207.8 rushing).

The Lobos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in November. The Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.

New Mexico has the best rushing attack in the country and with their 5-game winning streak, the Lobos are still have a chance to make it to the MW Championship game against San Diego State. Colorado State has played better as of late winning 3 of their last 5 games and has been solid at Hughes Stadium this season posting a 4-1 record. New Mexico can run with the best of them however, the last three wins came in close games against the bottom teams of the MW and as I like how the Rams have played as of late, I’m taking Colorado State to cover this small spread at home. 

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Colorado State Rams -4.5

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