San Jose State vs. Air Force - 11/19/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Air Force Falcons (7-3) at San Jose State Spartans (3-7)
College Football: Saturday, November 19, 2016 at 10:30 pm (Spartan Stadium)
The Line: San Jose State Spartans +11 -- Over/Under: 59 See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Air Force Falcons will travel to CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Air Force Falcons won their 3rd straight game and improved to 7-3 (3-3 MW) on the season after defeating the Colorado State Rams, 49-46, this past Saturday. Air Force has an outstanding game on the ground racking up 485 rushing yards but won the game due to a big defensive play by Grant Ross who generated a turnover in the Rams final drive of the game. Air Force was outgained by Colorado State by a 559-534 margin. Leading the way for the Falcons was RB Timothy McVey who had 4 TD’s and 184 rushing yards on 15 carries. On the season, Air Force is averaging 34.4 ppg on 456.8 total yards per game (146.7 passing, 310.1 rushing). Offensively, the Falcons are led by their rushing attack that ranks 3rd in the country. Leading the rushing attack has been Jacobi Owens (10.4 att/g, 65.1 yds/g, 3 TD), D.J. Johnson (13.3 att/g, 58.0 yds/g), Timothy McVey (6.3 att/g, 51.7 yds/g, 10 TD), and Shayne Davern (10.4 att/g, 42.7 yds/g, 3 TD). QB Arion Worthman has completed 10 of 18 passes for 261 yards, 2 TD and an INT since taking over the starting duties for QB Nate Romine who has been injured the last two weeks. Jalen Robinette (2.8 rec/g, 76.0 yds/g, 4 TD), Timothy McVey (0.6 rec/g, 17.6 yds/g, 2 TD) and Ryan Reffitt (0.8 rec/g, 17.3 yds/g, 2 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Falcons.
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The San Jose State Spartans dropped to 3-7 (2-4 MW) on the season after being defeated by the 24th ranked Boise State Broncos, 45-31, this past Friday. San Jose State played the Broncos tough on the road but couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 24-16 margin at halftime. San Jose State was outgained by Boise State by a 517-495 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for San Jose State was QB Kenny Potter who competed 23 of 36 passes for 278 yards, 2 TD, and an INT. On the season, San Jose State is averaging 23.9 ppg on 375.5 total yards per game (221.4 passing, 154.1 rushing). Offensively, the Spartans has been led by QB Kenny Potter who has completed 58.1% of his passes for 13 TD and 7 INT while averaging 202.4 passing yds/g. Potter’s main targets this season has been Tre Hartley (3.7 rec/g, 63.6 yds/g, 4 TD), Justin Holmes (3.0 rec/g, 53.7 yds/g, 2 TD), Tim Crawley (4.0 rec/g, 46.6 yds/g, 2 TD), and Billy Freeman (1.5 rec/g, 19.6 yds/g, TD). Leading the way for the Spartans backfield has been Malik Roberson (8.6 att/g, 45.5 yds/g, 2 TD), Zamore Zigler (9.9 att/g, 52.9 yds/g, 3 TD), and Deontae Cooper (8.9 att/g, 36.8 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, San Jose State is allowing their opponents to average 375.5 ppg on 448.7 total yards per game (208.1 passing, 240.6 rushing).
The Falcons are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Air Force has been extremely successful with the rushing attack and should once again find success against a San Jose State rushing defense that ranks 119th in rushing defense. San Jose State has had a long season but have to be happy with their performance on the road against Boise State and finally looked like they were able to find some offensive rhythm. Air Force has been playing well as of late however, San Jose State has been playing better as of late, and I think Kenny Potter will be able to do enough to cover with the points. Take San Jose State and the points.