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SMU vs. USF - 11/19/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USF Bulls (8-2) at SMU Mustangs (5-5)

College Football: Saturday, November 19, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

The Line: SMU Mustangs +12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS Sports Network

The South Florida Bulls will travel to Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on the SMU Mustangs this Saturday night in College Football action.

The South Florida Bulls won their 2nd straight game and improved to 8-2 (5-1 AAC) on the season after defeating the Memphis Tigers, 49-42, this past Saturday. In a back and forth game, South Florida was able to take the lead for good with a 22-yard TD run by QB Quinton Flowers with just 1:46 left to play. South Florida outgained Memphis by a 679-608 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Bulls was QB Quinton Flowers who completed 24 of 29 passes for 263 passing yards and 2 TD, while also gaining 210 yards and 3 TD’s on the ground. On the season, South Florida is averaging 44.0 ppg on 520.5 total yards per game (233.3 passing, 287.2 rushing). Offensively, the Bulls have been led by QB Quinton Flowers who had accounted for 32 TD’s this season (19 passing, 13 rushing). Flowers is averaging 220.4 passing yds/g and is the leading rusher for the Bulls as he is averaging 113.1 yds/g. Also in the backfield for South Florida is Marlon Mack (13.7 att/g, 94.8 yds/g, 12 TD) and D’Ernest Johnson (8.7 att/g, 47.6 yds/g, 6 TD). Rodney Adams (4.9 rec/g, 67.1 yds/g, 5 TD), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (1.8 rec/g, 30.4 yds/g, 4 TD), and Tyre McCants (1.8 rec/g, 25.4 yds/g, 2 TD) are the leading receivers for the Bulls. Defensively, South Florida is allowing their opponents to average 31.4 ppg on 480.5 total yards per game (2556.1 passing, 224.4 rushing).

SMU vs. USF - 11/19/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The SMU Mustangs improved to 5-5 (3-3 AAC) on the season after defeating the East Carolina Pirates, 55-31, this past Saturday. SMU was outstanding on the defensive end as they force the Pirates into committing 5 turnovers in the victory. SMU outgained East Carolina by a 477-466 margin and easily secured the victory after taking 38-24 lead at halftime. Leading the way for SMU was DB Horace Richardson who returned 2 INT’s for touchdowns. On the season, SMU is averaging 27.4 ppg on 412.2 total yards per game (241.4 passing, 170.8 rushing). Offensively, SMU is led by QB Ben Hicks who has completed 52.8% of his passes for 15 TD and 11 INT while averaging 221.9 passing yds/g. Courtland Sutton (5.7 rec/g, 93.4 yds/g, 7 TD), James Proche (4.8 rec/g, 58.9 yds/g, 5 TD), Xavier Castille (2.7 rec/g, 27.6 yds/g), and Jeremiah Gaines (1.0 rec/g, 11.7 yds/g, 3 TD). Leading the SMU backfield has been Braedon West (16.1 att/g, 86.8 yds/g, 6 TD) and Ke’Mon Freeman (12.1 att/g, 54.4 yds/g, 3 TD). Defensively, SMU is allowing their opponents to average 32.5 ppg on 436.3 total yards per game (261.1 passing, 175.2 rushing).

The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games. The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

South Florida has one of the most explosive offenses in the country led by duel-threat QB Quinton Flowers. SMU has had an up and down season and although their offense can put up some points, their defense ranks just 86th in the country in total defense. South Florida is one of the better teams in AAC however, SMU did a nice job against Houston’s duel-threat QB Greg Ward Jr. in their upset victory over the Cougars and as I think Ben Hicks and the Mustangs passing attack will be able to put up some points on the Bulls defense, I’m taking SMU and the points. 

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SMU Mustangs +12.5

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