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BYU vs. Utah State - 11/26/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Utah State Aggies (3-8) at BYU Cougars (7-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 26, 2016 at 10:15 pm (LaVell Edwards Stadium)

The Line: BYU Cougars -18.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN U

The Utah State Aggies will travel to LaVell Edwards Stadium to take on the BYU Cougars this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Utah State Aggies lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 3-8 (1-7 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Nevada Wolfpack, 38-37, this past Saturday. Utah State held a 37-24 lead with just under 8 minutes to play however, allowed the Wolfpack to storm back for the victory after Nevada’s QB, Ty Gangi, scored on a 6-yard run on 4th down with just 5 seconds left in regulation. Utah State outgained Nevada by a 523-341 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for Utah State was RB Tonny Lindsey who had 168 rushing yards and a TD on 21 carries. On the season, Utah State is averaging 25.2 ppg on 392.7 total yards per game (215.5 passing, 177.2 rushing). Offensviely, the Aggies have been led by QB Kent Myers who has completed 59.0% of his passes for 10 TD and 7 INT while averaging 208.3 passing yds/g. Myers also has rushed for 6 TD’s on the season and averages 37.0 rushing yds/g. Leading the Utah State backfield has been Tonny Lindsey (12.7 att/g, 65.1 yds/g, 6 TD) and Devante Mays (6.2 att/g, 43.2 yds/g, 3 TD). Ron’Quavion Tarver (4.1 rec/g, 53.6 yds/g, 3 TD), Rayshad Lewis (3.4 rec/g, 41.5 yds/g, 2 TD), and Wyatt Houston (3.1 rec/g, 28.1 yds/g, 2 TD) are the leading receivers for the Aggies. Defensively, Utah State is allowing their opponents to average 29.5 ppg on 382.1 total yards per game (182.9 passing, 199.2 rushing).

BYU vs. Utah State - 11/26/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The BYU Cougars won their 3rd straight game and improved to 7-4 on the season after defeating the UMass Minutemen, 51-9, this past Saturday. BYU only held a 14-9 lead at halftime, however, was outstanding in the 2nd half and pulled away for victory after scoring 37 unanswered points. BYU outgained UMass by a 431-328 margin and won the turnover battle by a 4-1 margin. Leading the way for the Cougars was RB KJ Hall who had 101 rushing yards and a TD on 18 carries. On the season, BYU is averaging 30.2 ppg on 411.0 total yards per game (215.5 passing, 195.5 rushing). Offensively, BYU has been led by RB Jamaal Williams who has 10 TD’s on the season and is averaging 129.3 rushing yds/g on 23.8 att/g. QB Taysom Hill has completed 60.4% of his passes for 11 TD and 9 INT while averaging 202.0 passing yds/g. Hill is also the Cougars 2nd leading rusher as he has 10 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 50.3 rushing yds/g. Nick Kurtz (3.8 rec/g, 39.3 yds/g, 2 TD), Colby Pearson (3.1 rec/g, 32.5 yds/g, 3 TD), Mitchell Juergens (3.0 rec/g, 29.4 yds/g, TD) and Jonah Trinnaman (2.5 rec/g, 28.7 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Cougars. Defensively, BYU is holding their opponents to an average of 20.3 ppg on 379.3 total yards per game (269.8 passing, 109.5 rushing).

The Aggies are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games in November. The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. MW opponents.

It’s been a tough year for the Aggies however as although the defense has been solid at times, the offense has been inconsistent throughout the season and currently rank just 89th in the country in scoring offensive. BYU hasn’t gotten the credit that they deserve this season as although the Cougars have 4 losses on the season, they’ve been competitive in every game they’ve played and have a great defense that ranks 18th in scoring defense. This is a very good BYU team however, Utah State has been somewhat competitive on the road this season with close losses to Boise State, CSU, and Nevada and as the offensive seems to be moving the ball better as of late, I think Utah State will keep this one within the number in this rivalry game. Take Utah State and the points. 

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Utah State Aggies +18.5

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