Hawaii vs. UMass - 11/26/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Massachusetts Minutemen (2-8) at Hawaii Warriors (5-7)
College Football: Saturday, November 26, 2016 at 11:00 pm (Aloha Stadium)
The Line: Hawaii Warriors -10.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: OC Sports
The UMass Minutemen will travel to Aloha Stadium to take on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors this Saturday night in College Football action.
The UMass Minutemen lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 2-9 on the season after being defeated by the BYU Cougars, 51-9, this past Saturday. UMass had a strong first half and entered halftime down by just a 14-9 margin, however, allowed the Cougars to score 37 unanswered points in the 2nd half and pull away for the victory. UMass was outgained by BYU by a 431-328 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 4-1 margin. Leading the way for UMass was QB Andrew Ford who completed 27 of 40 passes for 288 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INT. On the season, UMass is averaging 21.8 ppg on 346.8 total yards per game (248.9 passing, 97.9 rushing). Offensively, the Minutemen have been led by QB Andrew Ford who has completed 60.6% of his passes for 23 TD and 14 INT while averaging 232.2 passing yds/g. Marcus Young has been the only real threat out of the backfield and has 3 TD’s on the season while averaging 71.0 rushing yds/g. Adam Breneman (6.0 rec/g, 70.7 yds/g, 7 TD), Andy Isabella (5.0 rec/g, 60.6 yds/g, 5 TD), and Jalen Williams (2.0 rec/g, 38.7 yds/g, 5 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Minutemen this season. Defensively UMass is allowing their opponents to average 34.5 ppg on 450.3 total yards per game (254.9 passing, 195.4 rushing).
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The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors snapped their 3-game losing streak and improved to 5-7 (4-4 MW) on the season after defeating the Fresno State Bulldogs, 14-13, this past Saturday. Hawaii was trailing throughout the 4th quarter however, was able to score on a 2-yard TD run by Steven Lakalaka with just 50 seconds left in regulation to secure the comeback victory. Hawaii was outgained by Fresno State by a 322-276 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Rainbow Warriors was WR Marcus Kemp who had 8 receptions for 65 yards. On the season, Hawaii is averaging 24.8 ppg on 374.9 total yards per game (214.9 passing, 160.0 rushing). Offensively, Hawaii has been led by the rushing trio of Diocemy Saint Juste (12.6 att/g, 71.4 yds/g, 2 TD), Paul Harris (6.4 att/g, 44.8 yds/g, 2 TD), and Steve Lakalaka (8.2 att/g, 34.2 yds/g, 12 TD). QB Dru Brown has completed 60.7% of his passes for 10 TD and 7 INT while averaging 173.0 passing yds/g. Marcus Kemp (5.4 rec/g, 82.8 yds/g, 6 TD), John Ursua (3.8 rec/g, 45.5 yds/g, 3 TD) and Dylan Colie (2.2 rec/g, 18.5 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Rainbow Warriors. Defensively, Hawaii is allowing their opponents to average 37.3 ppg on 455.1 total yards per game (200.8 passing, 254.3 rushing).
The Minutemen are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Rainbow Warriors are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games and 1-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
It’s been a long season for the UMass Minutemen however, the Minutemen have some reason for optimism as sophomore QB Andrew Ford seems to be a solid building block that UMass can build around for next season. Hawaii has struggled as of late on the offensive end as over their last 4 games, the Rainbow Warriors are averaging just 12.8 ppg. Both of these teams have had their difficulties on the defensive end this season as UMass is ranked 100th in total defense while Hawaii is ranked 105th. Hawaii has a chance to become bowl eligible with a win in this one, however, UMass seems to be playing the better football over the past month and as I think the Minutemen passing attack will be able to put up some points against the Hawaii defense, I think UMass and the points are the play in this one. Take UMass and the points.