New Mexico vs. Wyoming - 11/26/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Wyoming Cowboys (8-3) at New Mexico Lobos (7-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 26, 2016 at 10:15 pm (University Stadium)
The Line: New Mexico Lobos +3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The Wyoming Cowboys will travel to University Stadium (NM) to take on the New Mexico Lobos this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Wyoming Cowboys got their biggest win of the season and improved to 8-3 (6-1 MW) on the season after defeating the San Diego State Aztecs, 34-33, this past Saturday. Wyoming was able to hang on for the critical victory as after San Diego State completed a Hail Mary pass at end of the regulation to make it a 34-33 contest, the Cowboys defense came up big stopping the Aztecs 2-point conversation. Wyoming outgained San Diego State by a 487-389 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Cowboys was RB Brian Hill who had 131 yards and 2 TD’s on 31 carries. On the season, Wyoming is averaging 38.5 ppg on 447.1 total yards per game (227.6 passing, 219.5 rushing). Offensively, Wyoming is led by RB Brian Hill who had 18 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 140.7 yds/g. QB Josh Allen has completed 56.7% of his passes for 23 TD and 11 INT while averaging 227.3 passing yds/g. Tanner Gentry (5.2 rec/g, 92.7 yds/g, 11 TD), Jake Maulhardt (2.7 rec/g, 43.1 yds/g, 4 TD), and Jacob Hollister (2.5 rec/g, 42.5 yds/g, 6 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Cowboys. Defensively, Wyoming is allowing their opponents to average 33.6 ppg on 455.9 total yards per game (290.0 passing, 165.9 rushing).
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The New Mexico Lobos had their 5-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 7-4 (5-2 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Colorado State Rams, 49-31, this past Saturday. New Mexico couldn’t get their running game going until it was too late in this and couldn’t fight back after being down by a 28-10 margin at halftime. New Mexico was outgained by Colorado State by a 576-366 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Lobos was RB Tyrone Owens who had 157 rushing yards and a TD on 12 carries. On the season, New Mexico is averaging 36.2 ppg on 450.3 total yards per game (108.2 passing, 342.1 rushing). Offensively, New Mexico is led by their rushing attack which is the top-ranked rushing offensive in College Football. Leading the way for the Lobos rushing attack has been Tyrone Owens (12.2 att/g, 98.6 yds/g, 7 TD), Teriyon Gipson (13.1 att/g, 110.2 yds/g, 10 TD), and Richard McQuarley (10.1 att/g, 42.5 yds/g, 13 TD). QB Austin Apodaca (55.2 Comp %, 5 TD, 2 INT, 72.7 yds/g) and QB Lamar Jordan (50.0 Comp %, 5 TD, 4 INT, 48.2 yds/g) have split time at the QB position for the Lobos this season with Apodaca being more of a passing threat while Jordan being more of a running threat. Q’Drennan (0.9 rec/g, 21.4 yds/g, 2 TD), Patrick Reed (1.2 rec/g, 20.2 yds/g, TD), and Dameon Gamblin (2.0 rec/g, 20.0 yds/g, 3 TD) are the leading receivers for the Lobos. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 32.2 ppg on 392.6 total yards per game (229.5 passing, 163.2 rushing).
The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games however, just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Lobos are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.
Wyoming couldn’t ask for anything more as the Cowboys enter the game knowing that a win will put them in the Mountain West Championship against SDSU. New Mexico has the top ranked rushing attack and has been outstanding on the offensive end this season as they rank 29th in the country when it comes to scoring offense. Wyoming is nowhere near the same team on the road as they are at home however, after seeing the performance their defense did against the SDSU rushing attack, I think the Cowboys will show up to play in this one knowing how much is on the line is game and cover this small road spread. Take Wyoming to cover.