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Wyoming vs. San Diego State - 12/3/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Diego State Aztecs (9-3) at Wyoming Cowboys (8-3)

College Football: Saturday, December 3, 2016 at 7:45 pm (War Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Wyoming Cowboys +7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The San Diego State Aztecs will travel to War Memorial Stadium (WY) to take on the Wyoming Cowboys this Saturday night in the Mountain West Championship Game.

The San Diego State Aztecs lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 9-3 (6-2 MW-West) on the season after being defeated by the Colorado State Rams, 63-31, this past Saturday. San Diego had no answers for the Rams suddenly explosive offense however, the Aztecs knew going into this game that they had a spot in the Mountain West Championship after clinching the division a few weeks ago. San Diego State was outgained by Colorado State by a 507-377 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Aztecs was RB Juwan Washington who had 92 yards and a TD on just 6 carries. On the season, San Diego State is averaging 36.0 ppg on 318.3 total yards per game (204.9 passing, 113.3 rushing). Offensively, San Diego State has been led by RB Donnel Pumphrey who has 15 TD’s on the season and is averaging 159.0 rushing yds/g. Along with Pumphrey, the Aztecs also have Rashaad Penny (9.2 att/g, 73.2 yds/g, 9 TD) and Juwan Washington (4.2 att/g, 36.1 yds/g, 5 TD) in the backfield. QB Christian Chapman has completed 61.2% of his passes for 19 TD and 5 INT while averaging 148.4 passing yards per game. Mikah Holder (2.2 rec/g, 46.6 yds/g, 5 TD), David Wells (1.7 rec/g, 21.2 yds/g, 4 TD), and Rashaad Penny (1.0 rec/g, 17.3 yds/g, 3 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Aztecs. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing their opponents to average 20.8 ppg on 318.3 total yards per game (204.9 passing, 113.3 rushing).

Wyoming vs. San Diego State - 12/3/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Wyoming Cowboys dropped to 8-4 (6-2 MW-East) on the season after being defeated by the New Mexico Lobos, 56-35, this past Saturday. Although Wyoming’s loss, put the Mountain West division into a three-way tie after Boise State was defeated by Air Force, the Cowboys earned the spot in the Mountain West Championship due to the fact they had the highest composite rank among the computer rankings. Wyoming will need to find some quick answers on defense as in their game against the Lobos, the Cowboys were outgained by a 690-449 margin while allowing 568 rushing yards. Leading the way for the Cowboys was Brian Hill who had 3 TD’s and 126 rushing yards on 26 carries. On the season, Wyoming is averaging 38.2 ppg on 447.3 total yards per game (229.3 passing, 217.9 rushing). Offensively, Wyoming has been led by RB Brian Hill who has 21 TD’s on the season while averaging 139.5 rushing yds/g. QB Josh Allen has completed 57.4% of his passes for 23 TD and 11 INT while averaging 229.0 passing yds/g. Tanner Gentry (5.2 rec/g, 94.3 yds/g, 11 TD), Jake Maulhardt (2.9 rec/g, 44.1 yds/g, 4 TD), and Jacob Hollister (2.4 rec/g, 40.7 yds/g, 6 TD) are the leading receivers for the Cowboys. Defensively, Wyoming is allowing their opponents to average 35.5 ppg on 475.4 total yards per game (276.0 passing, 199.4 rushing).

The Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss however, just 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games.

If you watched either San Diego State or Wyoming play last weekend, you probably would be surprised that both teams would be playing in the Mountain West Championship as both the Aztecs and Cowboys probably had their worst games of the season. San Diego State has an outstanding rushing attack led by one of the best RB’s in the country and comes into the game with the 19th ranked scoring defense. Wyoming also has one of the best RB’s in the country in Brian Hill and although their defense can give up some points, their offensive has been able to make up for it as the Cowboys can beat you both on the ground and through the air. San Diego State has had a great season however, Wyoming has been outstanding at home this season and as the Aztecs pass defense has looked awful in their last two games against Wyoming and Colorado State, I like Wyoming to keep this one close enough to cover with the points. Take Wyoming to cover.  

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Wyoming Cowboys +7

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