Belmont Bruins vs. Fairfield Stags - 1/20/14
Fairfield Stags (4-14) at Belmont Bruins (13-7)
College Basketball: Monday, January 20, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Curb Event Center)
The Line: Belmont Bruins -14.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The 4-14 Fairfield Stags will look to pull off a second straight upset when it goes on the road to play the 13-7 Belmont Bruins. On Saturday, Fairfield was able to upset Manhattan by winning the game straight up 71-67.
It goes without question that Belmont should win this game. It’s in the Curb Event Center, a place where the Bruins hold a 5-1 record this season. They also shoot a lights out 50 percent from the field, while the Stags are one of the worst shooting teams in the country at 39.3 percent.
Rob Grabowski-USA TODAY Sports
However, there’s major value here with Fairfield. It’s a team that’s a decent 4-4 against the spread on the road, while Belmont still has yet to cover a spread on its home court. The rebounding margin is also a big deal with me, as Fairfield is grabbing a solid five more boards a game than Belmont. Belmont also refuses to play defense, allowing teams to shoot an absurd 47.6 percent from the field. Even Fairfield should be able to take advantage of those numbers.
I usually don’t like putting my money on a lousy team, but the Stags are 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. They’re confidence should also be riding high after beating a solid Manhattan team straight up.
Give me Fairfield and the points.