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Written by Mitch Wilson on January 31, 2014

LSU Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Pick, Odds, Prediction 2/1/14: Mitch's Free College Basketball Pick Against the Spread
Photo by: Crystal LoGiudice-USA TODAY Spor

LSU and Arkansas face off on Saturday in SEC college basketball.

The LSU Tigers and the Arkansas Razorbacks face off on Saturday in Baton Rouge in SEC college basketball action.

The LSU Tigers have won three of their last four games including their biggest win of the season on Tuesday beating Kentucky. LSU is 4-3 in the SEC and tied for fourth place and they are 9-2 at home this season. Johnny O’Bryant leads the Tigers averaging 15.3 points and 7.4 rebounds per game. Jordan Mickey is averaging 13.2 points and 7.2 rebounds, Andre Stringer is averaging 11.8 points, and Shavon Coleman is averaging 9.2 points. LSU is averaging 76.6 points and they are shooting 45 percent while defensively they are allowing 69.7 points and their opponents are shooting 39.5 percent. Six of LSU’s next nine games are on the road.

The Arkansas Razorbacks have lost three of their last four games and are just 2-5 in SEC play. Arkansas is 2-5 away from home and they have played the 77th ranked schedule in the country. Rashad Madden is the Razorbacks leading scorer averaging 12.9 points per game. Bobby Portis is averaging 12.2 points and 6.6 rebounds, Michael Qualls is averaging 11.7 points, and Alandise Harris is averaging 9.1 points. Arkansas is averaging 82.4 points and they are shooting 45.5 percent while defensively they are allowing 69.7 points and their opponents are shooting 39.6 percent. Arkansas is in 12th place in the SEC.

LSU is 2-0-2 against the spread in their last four games, 3-7-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 0-3-1 against the spread following a game that they covered the point spread. Arkansas is 10-3 against the spread following a loss, 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games overall, and 9-2 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the spread. The favorite has covered the point spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.

My free pick in this game is going to be on the total and at 149.5 it is too high as defensively both of these teams are simply better than that. My stronger play is on who will cover the spread and I will post that pick in the Premium Area as well as on the App. 

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Mitch's Pick: Under 149.5


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