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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan Wolverines Pick, Odds, Prediction 3/4/14

Michigan Wolverines (21-7) at Illinois Fighting Illini (17-12)

College Basketball: Tuesday, March 4, 2014 at 7:00 pm (State Farm Center)

The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini +3 -- Over/Under: 124.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Illinois Fighting Illini and the Michigan Wolverines face off on Tuesday at Assembly Hall in Big Ten college basketball.

The Illinois Fighting Illini have won their last three games as they try and salvage something from what has been a disappointing season. Illinois is 10-5 at home this season, 6-10 in the Big Ten, and 1-6 against teams ranked in the top 25. Rayvonte Rice leads the Illini averaging 15.8 points and 6.0 rebounds. Tracy Abrams is averaging 10.9 points, Joseph Bertrand is averaging 9.2 points, and Jon Ekey is averaging 7.3 points and 5.2 rebounds. Illinois is averaging 65.1 points and they are shooting 40.7 percent while defensively they are allowing 62.1 points and their opponents are shooting 41.4 percent. Illinois is looking for momentum for a possible run in the Big Ten tournament.

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan Wolverines Pick, Odds, Prediction 3/4/14

Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

The Michigan Wolverines have won their last three games and with a win in either of their last two games can clinch the regular season Big Ten Championship. Michigan is 13-3 in the Big Ten and 9-5 in games played away from home. Nik Stauskas leads the Wolverines averaging 17.1 points per game. Caris LeVert is averaging 13.4 points, Glenn Robinson III is averaging 13 points, and Derrick Walton Jr. is averaging 8.2 points. Michigan is averaging 74.9 points and they are shooting 47.7 percent while defensively they are allowing 65.1 points and their opponents are shooting 43.9 percent. A year after going to the finals in the NCAA Tournament Michigan has exceeded expectations this year.

Illinois is 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games, 7-15-1 against the spread in their last 23 Big Ten games, and 4-1 against the spread after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Michigan is 1-5 against the spread following a win and 0-4 against the spread following a game that they covered the spread. The home team has covered the point spread in 21 of the last 27 meetings of these two.

My free pick in this one is going to be on the total and at 124.5 I see it going over. My stronger pick is on who will cover the spread and I will post that pick in the Premium Area and the App. 

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Over 124.5

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