Canisius Golden Griffins vs. VMI Keydets - 3/18/14 CIT First Round
VMI Keydets (19-12) at Canisius Golden Griffins (21-12)
College Basketball: Tuesday, March 18, 2014 at 7:00 pm (Koessler Center)
The Line: Canisius Golden Griffins -13.5 -- Over/Under: 167.5 See the Latest Odds
The Canisius Golden Griffins and VMI Keydets will play in the first round of the CIT on Tuesday night. The Golden Griffins finished third in the MAAC with a 21-12 record, while the Keydets finished second in the Big South with a 19-12 record.
Virginia Military is an offensive powerhouse, averaging 83.2 points on 42.9 percent shooting. VMI shoots 70.4 percent from the free throw line and is led by a trio in QJ Peterson, Rodney Glasgow and D.J. Covington that combines for 56.5 points. Defensively, VMI allows 82.7 points on 44.2 percent shooting. The Keydets have allowed 90-plus points eight times this season, but they do average 42.2 rebounds per game. Virginia Military is 2-1 ATS overall this season.
The Canisius Golden Griffins are also an offensive minded team, averaging 77.9 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Canisius is led by senior guard Billy Baron, who carries much of the offensive load with an average of 24.2 points and 5.2 assists per game. The Golden Griffins shoot 74.1 percent from the free throw line and 38.3 percent from downtown. Defensively, Canisius allows 74.2 points on 44.8 percent shooting, but does steal the ball nearly 7 times per game. The Canisius Golden Griffins are 20-9 ATS overall this season.
The Keydets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Golden Griffins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
I hate laying big chalk in a tournament game, and certainly don’t like laying a big number when the underdog can score the way Virginia Military can. That’s why I’m going to side with the over. Both VMI and Canisius score a truckload of points and don’t really bother putting much effort into the defensive side of the ball.
Expect a score in the upper 80s, which will soar over the projected number.