San Diego Toreros vs. Portland State Vikings - 3/18/14 CIT First Round
Portland State Vikings (17-14) at San Diego Toreros (16-16)
College Basketball: Tuesday, March 18, 2014 at 10:00 pm (Jenny Craig Pavilion)
The Line: San Diego Toreros -11 -- Over/Under: 135 See the Latest Odds
The Portland State Vikings and San Diego Toreros will play Tuesday night in the first round of the CIT. Portland State finished fifth in the Big Sky with a 17-14 record, while San Diego finished sixth in the West Coast conference with a 16-16 record.
The Vikings rely mainly on their offense, averaging 71.7 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Portland State shoots 73 percent from the free throw line, has five players averaging at least 10.1 points and is led by junior guard DaShaun Wiggins, who averages 12.8 points and 2.8 rebounds. Defensively, Portland State allows 73 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Portland State is also a poor rebounding team with an average of 30.5 boards per game. The Portland State Vikings are 14-14 ATS overall this season.
Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODA
San Diego is the exact opposite, relying on defense to win games. The Toreros allow just 65.9 points on 43.6 percent shooting. In 32 games, the Toreros allowed 70 or more points just 10 times. Offensively, San Diego averages 65.7 points on 44 percent shooting. The Toreros shoot 37.5 percent from downtown and are led by junior guard Johnny Dee, who averages 16.8 points and 2.5 rebounds. San Diego has scored 70 or less points in 15 straight games. The San Diego Toreros are 14-14 ATS overall this season.
The Vikings are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU loss. The Toreros are 14-29 ATS in their last 43 non-conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The over is 8-1 in Vikings last 9 vs. West Coast and 5-1 in Toreros last 6 home games.
The spread is too large for my taste, as Portland State could keep this game close if the shots are falling. That’s why I’m going to side with the over. Although San Diego is a great defensive team, Portland State is going to score its fair share of points. Asking for a game in the high 60s isn’t asking for much.
San Diego will likely win the game, but there will be more points involved than expected.