Arizona Wildcats vs. San Diego State Aztecs - 3/27/14 West Region
San Diego State Aztecs (31-4) at Arizona Wildcats (32-4)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 27, 2014 at 10:17 pm (Honda Center)
The Line: Arizona Wildcats -6.5 -- Over/Under: 121.5 See the Latest Odds
The San Diego State Aztecs and Arizona Wildcats will play late Thursday night in the NCAA tournament. These teams played earlier in the year, and Arizona won 69-60.
To get to this point, San Diego State beat New Mexico State and North Dakota State in the first two rounds. On the season, the Aztecs average 68.3 points on 42.4 percent shooting and allow 57.8 points on 39.4 percent shooting. The Aztecs have not allowed a 70-point performance in 20 straight games and are holding teams to 38.9 percent shooting on neutral sties. Offensively, guard Xavier Thames has scored 53 points and racked up 10 assists in this tournament, providing San Diego State with a much needed playmaker. The San Diego State Aztecs are 19-13 ATS overall this season.
Arizona has beaten Weber and Gonzaga to advance to the Sweet 16. On the season, Arizona averages 73.2 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allows 58.2 points on 38 percent shooting. Arizona has allowed only one 70-point performance in its last 19 games and is holding teams to 36 percent shooting on neutral sites. Offensively, guard Nick Johnson leads the way with an average of 16.3 points, and he’s scored 35 combined points in the first two games of the tournament. The Arizona Wildcats are 21-14 ATS overall.
The Aztecs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. The Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mountain West. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Although Arizona won the earlier meeting this season, the Wildcats also had Brandon Ashley on their side. Ashley is now sidelined with an injury. I actually think San Diego State can win this game SU with its elite defense and with the way Thames has been playing lately.
Arizona can be streaky offensively, which doesn’t help going up against the Aztecs defense.
The Wildcats are getting a little too much credit in this one. Give me the Aztecs and the points.