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Louisville Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats - 3/28/14 Midwest Region

Kentucky Wildcats (26-10) at Louisville Cardinals (31-5)

College Basketball: Friday, March 28, 2014 at 9:45 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)

The Line: Louisville Cardinals -5 -- Over/Under: 138.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Kentucky Wildcats and Louisville Cardinals will square off Friday night in a NCAA tournament matchup. Kentucky won the earlier meeting this season, 73-66.

Kentucky defeated Kansas State and is coming off an upset victory over Wichita State in the third round of the tournament. On the season, Kentucky averages 75.4 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allows 66.4 points on 40.6 percent shooting. Kentucky is a balanced team that is finally starting to play to its full potential at both ends of the court. The Wildcats have held five of their last seven opponents to 67 or less points. Offensively, freshman Julius Randle leads Kentucky with 15.1 points and 10.6 rebounds. The Kentucky Wildcats are 17-15-2 ATS overall.

Louisville Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats - 3/28/14 Midwest Region

Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

Louisville has beaten Manhattan and Saint Louis to get to this point in the tournament. On the season, Louisville averages 81.4 points on 47 percent shooting and allows 60.8 points on 39.5 percent shooting. The Cardinals have allowed only two teams in their last 14 games to score 70 or more points. Offensively, the Cardinals have four players averaging at least 10.4 points, and guard Russ Smith leads the way with an average of 18.1 points per game. The Louisville Cardinals are 20-14 ATS overall. 

The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. The Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games. Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings, while the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five.

I don’t like how Louisville has been letting teams hang around lately. I do like how Kentucky is starting to grow up and play like a team that could compete for a national championship.

When you add that to the fact Kentucky has won five of the last six meetings against Louisville, including this season, I’ll take the points with a smile.

The Wildcats should win this game SU. 

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Kentucky +5

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