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Written by Randy Chambers on April 1, 2014

Florida Gators vs. Connecticut Huskies - 4/5/14 Final Four: Randy's Free College Basketball Pick Against the Spread
Photo by: USA TODAY Sports

The Connecticut Huskies and Florida Gators will have a rematch on Saturday.

The Connecticut Huskies and Florida Gators will meet Saturday in the Final Four. These two teams played back in early December and UConn won 65-64 thanks to a last-second shot by Shabazz Napier.

Connecticut has once again made an improbable run in the NCAA tournament by defeating St. Joseph’s, Villanova, Iowa State and Michigan State. On the season, UConn averages 72.4 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allows 63.7 points on 39.2 percent shooting. The Huskies really only go as far as Napier carries them, and he’s been doing just that, scoring at least 24 points in three of the first four tournament games. However, UConn also plays great defense, holding Michigan State to just 54 points on 39.1 percent shooting. The Huskies are also one of the top free throw shooting teams in the country at 77.4 percent. The UConn Huskies are 21-15 ATS overall.

The Florida Gators have reached the Final Four with victories over Albany, Pittsburgh, UCLA and Dayton. On the season, Florida averages 70.4 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allows 57.6 points on 39.9 percent shooting. Of course, the Gators make their mark on the defensive side of the ball, as they’ve held 11 straight opponents to 68 or less points. Offensively, the Gators are led by Scottie Wilbekin, who has scored 21 or more points in two of the last three tournament games and really manages the game well. However, Florida shoots just 67.3 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are 18-15-1 ATS overall. 

The Huskies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 20-9 ATS in their last 29 NCAA Tournament games.

UConn has already shown it can beat the Gators once this season and has already beaten up on some elite compeition throughout the tournament. I refuse to bet against Napier, as he's been money in big moments his whole career. I give the Huskies a shot to win this SU, but if they can't win, they should certainly do enough to keep this game close.

Give me UConn and the points, please. 

 

Randy's Pick: Connecticut Huskies +6.5


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