Nevada vs. Cal Poly - 11/15/14 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cal Poly Mustangs (14-20) at Nevada Wolf Pack (15-17)
College Basketball: Saturday, November 15, 2014 at 6:00 pm (Lawlor Events Center)
The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack -4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Nevada Wolfpack and the Cal Poly Mustangs face off on Saturday in as they open their 2014-2015 college basketball seasons.
The Nevada Wolfpack finished last season with 10 Mountain West Conference wins which is a solid performance in a tough conference but third place wasn’t good enough for the NCAA Tournament. Mike Perez is the highest scorer of the returning players at 11.5 points per game and he moves up the pecking order so expect him to see plenty of scoring chances. Marqueze Coleman and A.J. West each averaged six points per game. Nevada has some promising newcomers including Eric Cooper Jr. who was originally committed to Arizona and Tyron Criswell who is a former Juco Player of the Year. There are plenty of questions surrounding Nevada this season but they should have time to put things together.
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Cal Poly finished last season 14-20 but a win in the Big West Tournament and they made the NCAA Tournament where they beat Texas Southern in the first four before bowing out against Wichita State. David Nwaba is CP’s leading returning player averaging 11.7 points and 4.8 rebounds. Malik Love appeared in 34 games for the Mustangs last season but he averaged just 3.5 points. Joel Awich averaged 17 minutes per game last season with 4.1 points and about a block per game. Anthony Sylvestri and Michael Bolden will also be called upon for an increased role. Cal Poly plays a defensive style to keep games low scoring and they have led the Big West in defense the past four seasons.
Nevada is 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games, and 6-2 against the spread in their last eight Saturday games. Cal Poly is 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 road games, 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 non-conference games, and 0-5 against the spread against the Mountain West.
The line looks about right but I still give Nevada the edge here playing in the better conference despite Cal Poly’s post season success last year.