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Cincinnati vs. Middle Tennessee - 11/28/14 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-1) at Cincinnati Bearcats (4-1)

College Basketball: Friday, November 28, 2014 at 6:00 pm (The Arena at NW Florida St)

The Line: Cincinnati Bearcats -8.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Cincinnati Bearcats -8.5

The Cincinnati Bearcats and the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders face off on Friday in Niceville in college basketball tournament action.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 4-0 this season but they have played the 332nd ranked schedule in the nation. Cincinnati is averaging 58.5 points and they are shooting 41.9 percent from the floor while defensively they are allowing 49.2 points and their opponents are shooting 35 percent. Octavius Ellis is averaging 11.8 points and 9.0 rebounds to lead the Bearcats. Troy Caupain is averaging 10.5 points, Farad Cobb is averaging 9.2 points, and Garry Clark is averaging 7.0 points and 7.5 rebounds. Cincinnati has upcoming games against Nebraska, VCU, and San Diego State.

Cincinnati vs. Middle Tennessee - 11/28/14 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders are 3-1 this season with wins over Northern Arizona and Southern and a loss to Murray State. MTSU is averaging 60 points per game shooting 34.3percent from the floor while defensively they are allowing 56.3 points and their opponents are shooting 40.5 percent. Reggie Upshaw Jr. is averaging 11.2 points and 7.2 rebounds to lead the Blue Raiders. Marcus Tarrance is averaging 10.5 points, Jacquez Rozier averaging 9.5 points and 6.5 rebounds, and Perin Buford is averaging 9.0 points. MTSU is averaging 783 percent from beyond the three-point arc.

Cincinnati is 6-13 against the spread in their last 19 non-conference gams, 2-6 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 0-6 against the spread in their last six games. Middle Tennessee State is 2-6-1 against the spread in their last nine neutral site games, 2-5 against the spread following a win, and 1-8 against the spread against a team with a winning percentage higher than .600.

Cincinnati’s defense can be suffocating and I see that as the big difference maker here.

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Cincinnati Bearcats -8.5

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