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Florida State vs. South Florida - 12/20/14 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

South Florida Bulls (5-5) at Florida State Seminoles (5-5)

College Basketball: Saturday, December 20, 2014 at 2:00 pm (BB&T Center)

The Line: Florida State Seminoles -4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX Sports 1

The South Florida Bulls and Florida State Seminoles square off Saturday at the BB&T Center.

The South Florida Bulls have lost four straight games and need a win to prevent falling below .500. On the season, USF is averaging 69 points on 47.8 percent shooting and is allowing 71.6 points on 41.6 percent shooting. Corey Allen Jr. is averaging 15.3 points and 3.1 assists while Chris Perry is averaging 13.3 points and 7.1 rebounds. Nehemias Morillo is the third player averaging double-digit points and Anthony Collins is racking up 6.6 assists per game. The South Florida Bulls are a top 60 team in field goal percentage but is shooting just 63.5 percent from the free throw line and 27 percent from beyond the arc. Defensively, South Florida is forcing 13.8 turnovers per game and is allowing 38.5 percent shooting from deep. Two of the Bulls five losses have been decided by five or less points.

Florida State vs. South Florida - 12/20/14 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Florida State Seminoles are also 5-5 and looking for a big win to right the ship. On the season, FSU is averaging 71.8 points on 48.5 percent shooting and is allowing 70.2 points on 42.9 percent shooting. Montay Brandon is averaging 14.5 points and 5.8 rebounds while Xavier Rathan-Mayes is averaging 11.8 points and 4.4 assists. Phil Cofer is grabbing 4.7 rebounds and Kiel Turpin is shooting 63.8 percent from the field. The Florida State Seminoles are also a quality shooting team but is shooting 65.4 percent from the line and 24.2 percent from beyond the arc. Defensively, FSU is forcing 13.2 turnovers per game and is holding teams to 34.8 percent from deep. Florida State is also dealing with sloppy play, turning the ball over 25 times in its last two games.

The Bulls are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast. The Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. 

Florida State has the better athletes and is more battle tested after playing a tougher schedule. I expect and trust the Seminoles to get their act together more than I trust USF. FSU should be able to cover this number against a far less talented team. 

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Florida State -4.5

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