San Diego State vs. Air Force - 12/31/14 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Air Force Falcons (7-4) at San Diego State Aztecs (10-3)
College Basketball: Wednesday, December 31, 2014 at 5:00 pm (Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl)
The Line: San Diego State Aztecs -12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Air Force Falcons and San Diego Aztecs square off Wednesday afternoon at the Viejas Arena.
The Air Force Falcons have won four of their last five games and are playing their fourth true road game. On the season, Air Force is averaging 68.7 points on 47.3 percent shooting and is allowing 62 points on 41.6 percent shooting. Max Yon is averaging 14.8 points and 2.2 assists while Kamryn Williams is averaging 9.3 points and six rebounds. Trevor Lyons is shooting 44.9 percent from the field and Marek Olesinski is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Air Force Falcons are one of the top offensive teams in the country, as they’re averaging close to 17 assists per game while shooting 69.9 percent from the free throw line and 39.6 percent from beyond the arc. Defensively, Air Force is forcing 12.8 turnovers per game and allowing teams to shoot 34.3 percent from deep.
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The San Diego Aztecs hope to keep things going after winning four of their last five games. On the season, San Diego State is averaging 62.8 points on 40.3 percent shooting and is allowing 54.7 points on 36.6 percent shooting. Winston Shepard is averaging 11 points and 4.6 rebounds while Aqeel Quinn is averaging 9.1 points and 3.2 rebounds. J.J. O'Brien is grabbing 5.8 rebounds and Trey Kell is shooting 37.5 percent from the field. The San Diego Aztecs remain a great defensive team that’s forcing close to 15 turnovers and holding teams to 28.8 percent shooting from deep. However, SDSU is struggling offensively, as it’s making 62.1 percent from the free throw line and 28 percent from downtown. San Diego State has scored 62 or less points in six of its last eight games.
The Falcons are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. The Aztecs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
I can't back San Diego State until the offense improves. Sure, the Aztecs have never been an offensive powerhouse but this season has taken things to a whole new level of low. Meanwhile, Air Force can score points in truckloads and moves the ball well enough to beat the Aztecs tough defense. This game will be close to the final minutes.