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Dayton vs. Duquesne - 1/3/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Duquesne Dukes (5-6) at Dayton Flyers (10-2)

College Basketball: Saturday, January 3, 2015 at 1:00 pm (University of Dayton Arena)

The Line: Dayton Flyers -13 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: NBCSN

The Duquesne Dukes and Dayton Flyers play Saturday afternoon at the University of Dayton Arena.

The Duquesne Dukes have split their last four games and play their fourth true road game. On the season, Duquesne is averaging 74.2 points on 46.1 percent shooting and is allowing 70.4 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Derrick Colter is averaging 12.2 points and 2.9 assists while Jordan Stevens is averaging 12 points and 3.2 assists. Micah Mason is the third player averaging double-digit points and TySean Powell is shooting 66.1 percent from the field. The Duquesne Dukes are a solid offensive team that has seven players averaging at least five points, and they’re shooting 60.6 percent from the free throw line and 38.6 percent from deep. The problem is that Duquesne has allowed 72 or more points in six of its last 10 games and is allowing teams to shoot 37.1 percent from downtown.

Dayton vs. Duquesne - 1/3/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dayton Flyers looks for its fourth straight win and hopes to stay undefeated at home. On the season, Dayton is averaging 68 points on 44 percent shooting and is allowing 59.8 points on 39.6 percent shooting. Jordan Sibert is averaging 15.7 points and 4.1 rebounds while Dyshawn Pierre is averaging 11.8 points and 6.3 rebounds. Kendall Pollard is the third player averaging double-digit points and Devon Scott is grabbing 7.4 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers have become a solid defensive team that’s allowed 69 or less points in 10 of their 12 games and is holding teams to 30.7 percent shooting from deep. Offensively, Dayton is shooting 66.6 percent from the free throw line and 32.9 percent from downtown. This will be the eighth home game already for Dayton.

The Dukes are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Flyers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Dayton has been money ATS at home and I don't expect that to change against a Duquesne team that's been so up and down and doesn't play quality defense. 

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Dayton Flyers -13

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