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Valparaiso Crusaders vs. Youngstown State Penguins - 1/4/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Youngstown State Penguins (9-7) at Valparaiso Crusaders (12-3)

College Basketball: Sunday, January 4, 2015 at 2:35 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)

The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -11.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Youngstown State Penguins will travel to the Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders this Sunday afternoon.

The Youngstown State Penguins fell to 9-7 (0-1 Horizon) on the season after losing to the UIC Flames 77-71 this past Friday. The Penguins were up by 9 at halftime in this one however allowed 14-0 run late in the second half which led to the loss. Leading the way for Youngstown State was Osandai Vaughn who had 18 points and 5 rebounds. The Penguins ranked 225th in the RPI standings and has played the 289th ranked SOS. On the season, Youngstown State have been led by Marcus Keene (16.6 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 3.2 apg), Bobby Hain (15.8 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 1.9 apg), and Shawn Amiker (13.0 ppg, 6.7 rpg). The Penguins are averaging 74.3 ppg (ranked 53rd) on 45.6% shooting (ranked 91st). Youngstown State averages 15.6 assists per game (ranked 47th). Defensively, the Penguins are allowing 72.1 ppg (ranked 300th) on 43.0% shooting (ranked 196th). Youngstown State averages 2.1 bpg (ranked 316th) and 35.94 total rpg (ranked 138th).

Valparaiso Crusaders vs. Youngstown State Penguins - 1/4/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Valparaiso Crusaders fell to 13-3 (0-1 Horizon) after losing 89-75 in overtime to the Oakland Golden Grizzlies this past Friday. The Crusaders fell behind early in this one and although they were able to force overtime, ran out of gas as they were outscored 18-4 in the overtime period. Leading the way for Valparaiso was Tevonn Walker who had 22 points, 2 rebounds, and 2 assists. The Crusaders are ranked 91st in the RPI Standings and have played the 270th SOS. On the season, Valparaiso have been led by Alec Peters (18.3 ppg, 6.2 rpg), Tevonn Walker (10.7 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.2 spg), and Darien Walker (9.8 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.9 apg). Offensively, the Crusaders are averaging 73.5 ppg (ranked 64th) on 46.8% shooting (ranked 56th). Valparaiso averages 7.9 three-pointers per game (ranked 49th) on 37.9% three-point shooting (ranked 57th). Defensively, the Crusaders are allowing their opponents to score an average of 60.9 ppg (ranked 75th) on 38.2% shooting (ranked 44th). Valparaiso is averaging 26.44 defensive rpg (ranked 61st) and 38.63 total rpg (ranked 55th).

The Penguins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Crusaders are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games an 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. the Horizon League.

Valparaiso got off to a sluggish start against Oakland and just couldn’t seem to get their offensive rolling against a sub-par defensive. Youngstown State will try to get the pace of this game up, however, I don’t seem them being able to stop the Crusaders on the defensive end. I think Coach Drew will have his team ready to rebound from the tough loss in Oakland and that the Crusaders win this one easily. Take Valparaiso to cover. 

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Valparaiso Crusaders -11.5

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