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Fairfield vs. Rider - 1/5/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Rider Broncs (8-6) at Fairfield Stags (4-9)

College Basketball: Monday, January 5, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Webster Bank Arena at Harbor Yard)

The Line: Fairfield Stags -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN3

The Rider Broncs and Fairfield Stags square off Monday night at the Webster Bank Arena.

The Rider Broncs have won four straight games and play their eighth true road game. On the season, Rider is averaging 65.1 points on 44.1 percent shooting and is allowing 66.3 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Teddy Okereafor is averaging 11 points and 3.3 assists while Jimmie Taylor is averaging 10.1 points and 3.9 rebounds. Zedric Sadler is shooting 42.2 percent from the field and Anthony D'Orazio is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Rider Broncs rely on their defense that’s forcing 14.4 turnovers per game and has allowed 61 or less points in four of their last seven games. Offensively, Rider is shooting 63 percent from the free throw line and 31 percent from downtown. Matt Lopez is questionable for this game with an illness.

Fairfield vs. Rider - 1/5/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Fairfield Stags have lost their last four games and look for their first home win in a month. On the season, Fairfield is averaging 61.2 points on 39.3 percent shooting and is allowing 68.2 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Marcus Gilbert is averaging 14.8 points and 4.5 rebounds while Tyler Nelson is averaging 7.2 points on 40.3 percent shooting. Amadou Sidibe is grabbing 7.8 rebounds and K.J. Rose is dishing out 2.7 assists. The Fairfield Stags are one of the worst offensive teams in the country with just one double-digit scorer while they’re shooting 71.5 percent from the free throw line and 31.7 percent from deep. Defensively, Fairfield is forcing 12.5 turnovers per game and has allowed 68 or less points in four of their last six games. Fairfield is just 2-6 SU on its home court this season.

The Broncs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Stags are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 home games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Broncs are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Fairfield and the road team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. 

In a toss up game, I have no choice to go with the home team. However, the best bet here would be avoiding altogether. 

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Fairfield Stags +1

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