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Missouri State Bears vs. Illinois State Redbirds - 1/11/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Illinois State Redbirds (9-6) at Missouri State Bears (8-7)

College Basketball: Sunday, January 11, 2015 at 3:00 pm (JQH Arena)

The Line: Missouri State Bears +2 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Illinois State Redbirds will travel to JQH Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears this Sunday afternoon.

The Illinois State Redbirds improved to 9-6 (1-2 MVC) on the season after defeating the Drake Bulldogs 81-45 this past Wednesday. The Redbirds shot 56.6% from the field and held the Bulldogs to just 31.8% shooting from the field in the victory. Leading the way for Illinois State was Daishon Knight who had 15 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists. The Redbirds are currently ranked 102nd the RPI Standings and have played the 60th ranked SOS. On the season, Illinois State has been led by Daishon Knight (15.1 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.3 spg) and DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell (14.1 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.6 apg). Offensively, the Redbirds are averaging 72.5 ppg (ranked 77th) on 44.6% shooting (ranked 181st). Illinois State averages 13.53 offensive rpg (ranked 30th). Defensively, the Redbirds are allowing their opponents to average 63.9 ppg (ranked 135th) on 42.6% shooting (ranked 181st). Illinois State is averaging 7.8 spg (ranked 63rd) however, also average 13.7 turnovers per game (ranked 228th).

Missouri State Bears vs. Illinois State Redbirds - 1/11/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Missouri State Bears had their 3 game winning streak snapped and dropped to 8-7 (2-1 MVC) on the season after being defeated by the Indiana State Sycamores 71-56 this past Wednesday.  The Bears struggled form the field as they only shot 37.5% from both the field and beyond the arc. Leading the way for Missouri State was Dorrian Williams who had 11 points, 4 assists, and 4 steals. The Bears are currently ranked 178th in the RPI Standings and have played the 177th ranked SOS. On the season, Missouri State has been led by Marcus Marshall (20.2 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.7 apg) and Austin Ruder (9.3 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.3 apg). Offensively, the Bears are averaging 65.6 ppg (ranked 231st) on 41.7% shooting (ranked 255th). Missouri State is shooting 76.6% from the charity stripe (ranked 7th). Defensively, the Bears are allowing their opponents to average 63.14 ppg (ranked 118th) on 42.1% (ranked 165th). Missouri State is averaging 22.87 defensive rpg (ranked 244th), and 33.6 total rpg (ranked 230th).

The Redbirds are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Bears are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS loss however, just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

I think Illinois State is one of the underrated teams in the MVC this year as I like what they can do on the offensive end. Missouri State is always tough at home, however, they really depend on Marcus Marshall for their offensive production and if he has an off night, the Bears have trouble scoring the ball. Illinois State played both Seton Hall and Wichita State tough earlier in the season, and I think that they have what it takes to take care of business against Missouri State. I'm taking Illinois State to cover this small spread. 

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Illinois State -2

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