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Missouri State Bears vs. Evansville Purple Aces - 1/14/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Evansville Purple Aces (12-4) at Missouri State Bears (8-8)

College Basketball: Wednesday, January 14, 2015 at 8:05 pm (JQH Arena)

The Line: Missouri State Bears +1.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Mediacom-Springfield

The Evansville Purple Aces will travel to JQH Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears this Wednesday night.

The Evansville Purple Aces snapped their two game losing streak and improved to 12-4 (2-2 MVC) on the season after defeating the Bradley Braves 66-56 this past Saturday. The Purple Aces shot 53.3% from the field and held the Braves to just 20.0% (3-15) shooting from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for Evansville was D.J. Balentine who had 22 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists. The Purple Aces are currently ranked 79th in the RPI Standings and have played the 138th ranked SOS. On the season, Evansville has been led by D.J. Balentine (21.4 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 3.8 apg) and Egidijus Mockevicius (13.7 ppg, 10.8 rpg, 2.4 bpg). Offensively, the Purple Aces are averaging 75.8 ppg (ranked 32nd) on 51.6% shooting (ranked 3rd). Evansville is averaging 17.9 apg (ranked 6th). Defensively, the Purple Aces are holding their opponents to 64.6 ppg (ranked 145th) on 42.3% shooting (ranked 169th). Evansville only commits an average of 16.2 fouls per game as a team (ranked 41st). The Purple Aces are grabbing 25.63 defensive rpg (ranked 85th) and 34.31 total rpg (ranked 205th).

Missouri State Bears vs. Evansville Purple Aces - 1/14/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Missouri State Bears dropped to 8-8 (2-2 MVC) on the season after being defeated by the Illinois State Redbirds 69-55 this past Sunday. The Bears shot 7.7% (1-13) from beyond the arc and found themselves down by a 49-27 margin by halftime. Leading the way for Missouri State was Tyler McCullough who had 12 points, 4 rebounds, and 4 blocks. The Bears are currently ranked 186th in the RPI Standings and have played the 151st ranked SOS. On the season, Missouri State has been led by Marcus Marshall (19.5 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.6 apg) and Austin Ruder (8.8 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.4 apg). Offensively, the Bears are averaging 64.9 ppg (ranked 248th) on 41.4% shooting (ranked 269th). Missouri State is shooting 76.6% as a team from the free-throw line (ranked 8th). Defensively, the Bears are allowing their opponents to average 63.8 ppg (ranked 129th) on 42.0% shooting (ranked 159th). Missouri State is averaging 22.56 defensive rpg (ranked 264th) and 33.31 total rpg (ranked 237th).

The Purple Aces are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Bears are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS loss however, just 5-12 ATS in their 17 games overall.

Missouri State heavily relies on Marcus Marshall for their offensive output and if a defensive can slow him down, the Bears will have trouble putting up 60 points. Evansville could easily be 4-0 in the MVC and I think that they are the far superior team in this one. I’m going to take Evansville on the road to cover this small spread. 

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Evansville Purple Aces -1.5

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