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Louisville vs. Duke - 1/17/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Duke Blue Devils (14-2) at Louisville Cardinals (15-2)

College Basketball: Saturday, January 17, 2015 at 12:00 pm (KFC Yum! Center)

The Line: Louisville Cardinals -3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Duke Blue Devils and Louisville Cardinals meet Saturday at the KFC Yum! Center.

The Duke Blue Devils look to snap a two-game skid when they play their fourth true road game. On the season, Duke is averaging 83.2 points on 50.2 percent shooting and is allowing 64.4 points on 42.8 percent shooting. Jahlil Okafor is averaging 18.9 points and 9.4 rebounds while Quinn Cook is averaging 14.8 points and 3.1 assists. Justise Winslow is the third player averaging double-digit points and Tyus Jones is dishing 4.1 assists. The Duke Blue Devils are an offensive machine with six players averaging at least 8.1 points while they’re shooting 69.6 percent from the line and 37.2 percent from downtown. Defensively, Duke is allowing 30.6 percent shooting from deep and has allowed a combined 177 points in its last two games.

Louisville vs. Duke - 1/17/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Louisville Cardinals have won four of their last five games and look for their fourth ACC win. On the season, Louisville is averaging 73.8 points on 43.5 percent shooting and is allowing 56.9 points on 36.4 percent shooting. Terry Rozier is averaging 17.4 points and 2.3 assists while Montrezl Harrell is averaging 15.2 points and 8.9 rebounds. Wayne Blackshear is grabbing 5.3 rebounds and Chris Jones is dishing 3.7 assists. The Louisville Cardinals are an elite defensive team that’s allowing 29.5 percent shooting from deep and has given up 63 or less points in five of their last seven games. Offensively, Louisville is shooting 66.2 percent from the line and 30.4 percent from downtown. Louisville is 11-1 SU on its home court.

The Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast and 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. 

I'm not sure Louisville has the offense to hang with Duke if the shots from the outside are falling. Sure, the Blue Devils have been horrible thier last couple of games but the value here is with the points and probably the better overall team. 

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Duke Blue Devils +3.5

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