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Massachusetts vs. Dayton - College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dayton Flyers (16-3) at Massachusetts Minutemen (10-9)

College Basketball: Thursday, January 29, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Mullins Center)

The Line: Massachusetts Minutemen +1.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPNU

The Dayton Flyers and Massachusetts Minutemen meet Thursday at the William D. Mullins Memorial Center.

The Dayton Flyers have won nine of their last 10 games and play their sixth true road game. On the season, Dayton is averaging 68.2 points on 46.8 percent shooting and are allowing 59.2 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Jordan Sibert is averaging 15.7 points and 1.8 assists while Dyshawn Pierre is averaging 12.7 points and 7.1 rebounds. Kendall Pollard is the third player averaging double-digit points and Scoochie Smith is dishing 4.2 assists. The Dayton Flyers are a defensive team that’s allowing 5.7 threes per game and has given up 61 or less points in six of their last seven games. Offensively, Dayton is shooting 66.7 percent from the line and 35.7 percent from beyond the arc. The Dayton Flyers are 2-4 SU on the road.

Massachusetts vs. Dayton -  College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Massachusetts Minutemen have split their last 10 games and look for their fourth A-10 victory. On the season, UMass is averaging 70.6 points on 44 percent shooting and are allowing 70.1 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Maxie Esho is averaging 12.8 points and 6.5 rebounds while Cady Lalanne is averaging 11.9 points and 9.3 rebounds. Trey Davis is dishing 3.8 assists and Derrick Gordon is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Massachusetts Minutemen have four double-digit scorers, and they’re shooting 69.7 percent from the line and 29.5 percent from beyond the arc. Defensively, Massachusetts is allowing 5.4 threes per game and has allowed 65 or less points in four of its last five games.

Dayton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road and 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Massachusetts. Massachusetts is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home and 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dayton. 

I like UMass to protect home court and to pick up the W. The Minutemen matchup well with the Flyers and are tough to beat on their home court. 

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Massachusetts Minutemen +1.5

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