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SMU vs. Central Florida - 1/31/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Central Florida Knights (9-11) at Southern Methodist Mustangs (17-4)

College Basketball: Saturday, January 31, 2015 at 8:00 pm (Moody Coliseum)

The Line: Southern Methodist Mustangs -18.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPNU

The SMU Mustangs and the UCF Knights face off on Saturday at Moody Coliseum in AAC college basketball action.

The SMU Mustangs are 17-4 this season and they have won their last seven games in a row. SMU is averaging 69.9 pints and they are shooting 48.6 percent from the floor while defensively they are allowing 58.9 points and their opponents are shooting 37.6 percent. Nic Moore leads the Mustangs averaging 14.8 points and 5.2 assists per game. Yanick Moreira is averaging 11.9 points and 6.7 rebounds, Markus Kennedy is averaging 11.4 points and 5.1 rebounds, and Keith Frazier is averaging 10.5 points. SMU is 12-1 at home and 8-1 in AAC play.

SMU vs. Central Florida - 1/31/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Central Florida Knights are 9-11 this season and they have lost their last four games. UCF is averaging 68.1 points and they are shooting 43.8 percent from the floor while defensively they are allowing 72.8 points and their opponents are shooting 45.3 percent. B.J. Taylor leads the Knights averaging 14.1 points per game. Adonys Henriquez is averaging 10.9 points, Brandon Goodwin is averaging 10.7 points, and Daiquan Walker is averaging 8.3 points. UCF is 1-5 on the road and 2-7 in AAC play.

SMU is 6-0-1 against the spread in their last seven home games, 4-0-1 against the spread in their last five games, and 15-5-1 against the spread against a team with a losing record. UCF is 9-3 against the spread against the AAC, 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games, and 16-33-3 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the point spread. The favorite has covered the point spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.

This one is a mismatch and I look for SMU to deliver a beating and cover. 

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SMU Mustangs -18.5

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