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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliers - 2/2/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Virginia Cavaliers (19-1) at North Carolina Tar Heels (17-5)

College Basketball: Monday, February 2, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Dean Smith Center)

The Line: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Virginia Cavaliers will travel to the Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels this Monday night.

The 2nd ranked Virginia Cavaliers (19-1, 7-1 ACC) lost their first game of the season after being defeated by the 4th ranked Duke Blue Devils this past Saturday. Virginia shot only 23.1% (3-13) from beyond the arc and allowed Duke to shoot 50.9% from the field in the loss. Leading the way for the Cavaliers was Malcolm Brogdon who had 17 points and 6 rebounds. Virginia is ranked 3rd in the RPI standings and has played the 8th ranked SOS. On the season, the Cavaliers have been led by Justin Anderson (13.8 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.9 apg) and Malcolm Brogdon (13.5 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.7 apg). Offensively, Virginia is averaging 68.0 ppg (ranked 160th) on 47.0% shooting (Ranked 38th). The Cavaliers averages just 8.9 turnovers per game (ranked 3rd) and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.53 (ranked 7th). Defensively, Virginia is holding their opponents to 50.1 ppg (ranked 1st) on 35.0% shooting (ranked 2nd). The Cavaliers grab 37.95 total rpg (ranked 41st) and have a rebound margin of 10.3 (ranked 3rd).

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliers - 2/2/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The 13th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels had their six game winning streak snapped and dropped to 17-5 (7-2 ACC) on the season after losing 78-68 in overtime against the 10th ranked Louisville Cardinals. North Carolina shot only 31.3% (5-16) from beyond the arc and committed 19 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Tar Heels was J.P. Tokoto who had a double-double with 11 points and 11 rebounds. North Carolina is ranked 10th in the RPI Standings and has played the 4th ranked SOS. On the season, the Tar Heels have been led by Marcus Paige (14.2 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 4.2 apg) and Kennedy Meeks (12.8 ppg, 8.1 rpg, 1.0 apg). Offensively, North Carolina is averaging 79.5 ppg (ranked 16th) on 46.6% shooting (ranked 47th). The Tar Heels average 17.4 apg (ranked 5th) and pulls down 15.45 offensive rpg (ranked 5th). Defensively, North Carolina is allowing their opponents to average 67.0 ppg (ranked 193rd) on 37.3% shooting (ranked 10th). The Tar Heels grab 43.45 total rpg (ranked 2nd) and have a rebound margin of 9.6 (ranked 5th).

The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Tar Heels are 55-26-1 ATS in their last 82 games following a S.U. loss however, just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Virginia will be looking to bounce back after their defensive let them down late in their recent loss against Duke. North Carolina will also be looking to bounce back after a tough loss in which they were winning the majority of the game. Virginia’s defensive is one of the best in the country, however, North Carolina can really get out and run at home. I think North Carolina pace will prevent Virginia to really get into their set defensive and that North Carolina gets a big win at home against the Cavaliers.  

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North Carolina Tar Heels +2.0

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