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Michigan State vs. Illinois - 2/7/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Illinois Fighting Illini (15-8) at Michigan State Spartans (15-7)

College Basketball: Saturday, February 7, 2015 at 12:00 pm (Breslin Center)

The Line: Michigan State Spartans -9.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Illinois Fighting Illini and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday at the Breslin Center.

The Illinois Fighting Illini have won four of their last six games and look to stay in the thick of the Big Ten. On the season, Illinois is averaging 72.6 points on 42.9 percent shooting and is allowing 63.7 points on 41 percent shooting. Malcolm Hill is averaging 14.6 points and 5.3 rebounds while Kendrick Nunn is averaging 11.3 points and two assists. Ahmad Starks is dishing 2.6 assists and Nnanna Egwu is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Illinois Fighting Illini have five active players averaging at least 5.5 points, and they’re shooting 79.7 percent from the line and 37.3 percent from deep. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and has given up 58 or less points in three of its last four games. Illinois is 1-5 SU on the road.

Michigan State vs. Illinois - 2/7/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Michigan State Spartans have won four of their last six games and are chasing a Big Ten title. On the season, MSU is averaging 73.6 points on 47.4 percent shooting and is allowing 62.3 points on 38.5 percent shooting. Denzel Valentine is averaging 14.4 points and 6.2 rebounds while Travis Trice is averaging 13.8 points and 5.6 assists. Branden Dawson is the third player averaging double-digit points and Matt Costello is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Michigan State Spartans have seven players averaging at least 5.2 points, and they’re shooting 63.1 percent from the line and 39.3 percent from deep. Defensively, MSU is allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and has given up 66 or less points in three of its last four games.

The Fighting Illini are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Fighting Illini are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Michigan State and 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings overall.

We've been fading Illinois since the injuries have hit, and it's paid off in a big way. MSU should win this game by double digits given the circumstances and the Fighting Illini inability to cover the number, especially on the road.

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Michigan State Spartans -9.5

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