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Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks - 2/19/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Saint Joseph's Hawks (11-13) at Dayton Flyers (19-5)

College Basketball: Thursday, February 19, 2015 at 6:00 pm (Dayton Arena)

The Line: Dayton Flyers -13.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN U

The Saint Joseph's Hawks will travel to the University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The Saint Joseph's Hawks dropped to 11-13 (5-7 A-10) on the season after being defeated by the Fordham Rams, 69-55, this past Sunday. Saint Joseph's shot 34.5% from the field and 25.0% (7-28) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Hawks was DeAndre Bembry who had 18 points, 1 rebound, and 3 assists. Saint Joseph's is ranked 165th in the RPI Standings and has played the 111th ranked SOS. On the season, the Hawks have been led by DeAndre Bembry (17.8 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 3.1 apg) and Isaiah Miles (10.4 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 1.0 bpg). Saint Joseph's is averaging 61.5 ppg (ranked 309th) on 40.5% shooting (ranked 297th).  The Hawks are averaging 5.2 three-pointers per game (ranked 272nd) and shoot just 62.5% from the free-throw line (ranked 329th). Saint Joseph's is holding their opponents to an average of 64.1 ppg (ranked 121st) on 43.3% shooting (ranked 203rd).  The Hawks are averaging 4.8 bpg (ranked 46th) and commit and average of 16.4 personal fouls per game (ranked 51st).

Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks - 2/19/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dayton Flyers improved to 19-5 (9-3 A-10) on the season after defeating the St. Bonaventure Bonnies, 75-61, this past Saturday. Dayton shot 52.1% from the field and 45.0% (9-20) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Flyers was Jordan Sibert who had 24 points, 5 rebounds, and 7 steals. Dayton is ranked 30th in the RPI Standings and has played the 122nd ranked SOS. On the season, the Flyers have been led by Jordan Sibert (16.5 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.9 apg) and Dyshawn Pierre (12.7 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 2.9 apg). Dayton is averaging 68.8 ppg (ranked 144th) on 46.7% shooting (ranked 46th). The Flyers average 14.2 apg (ranked 69th) and commit just 12.0 turnovers per game.  Dayton is holding their opponents to an average of 59.9 ppg (ranked 32nd) on 40.7% shooting (ranked 83rd). The Flyers are holding teams to 29.0% shooting from beyond the arc (ranked 11th) and have a turnover margin of 1.4 (ranked 84th).

The Hawks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss however, are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.  The Flyers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

The Hawks have lost their last 7 games on the road and were outrebounded by a 40-27 margin in their recent loss against Fordham. Dayton has won 3 of their last 4 including their recent 14 point win against a Saint Bonaventure team that has been playing real well as of late (wins against Davidson & VCU). Dayton has a great team that should be headed to the NCAA tournament, and although they have no depth which can become a major issue of they get into foul trouble, I just don't see Saint Joseph's being able to put up any sort of a fight on the road. I see Dayton pulling away in the second half of this one and covering this large spread. Take Dayton to cover.

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Dayton Flyers -13.5

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