Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Mississippi Rebels - 2/19/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Mississippi Rebels (17-8) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-13)
College Basketball: Thursday, February 19, 2015 at 9:00 pm (Humphrey Coliseum)
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs +5.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The Ole Miss Rebels will travel to the Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Ole Miss Rebels dropped to 17-8 (8-4 SEC) on the season after being defeated by the 24th-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks, 71-70, this past Saturday. Ole Miss shot 37.9% from the field and 25.0% (5-20) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Rebels was M.J. Rhett who had 16 points, 9 rebounds, and 2 blocks. Ole Miss is ranked 38th in the RPI Standings and has played the 41st ranked SOS. On the season, the Rebels have been led by Stefan Moody (15.6 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.2 apg) and Jarvis Summers (12.4 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 4.4 apg). Ole Miss is averaging 73.7 ppg (ranked 41st) on 43.5% shooting (ranked 173rd). The Rebels average just 11.6 turnovers per game (ranked 56th) and shoot 78.9% from the free-throw line (ranked 2nd). Ole Miss is holding their opponents to an average of 66.8 ppg (ranked 179th) on 39.4% shooting (ranked 42nd). The Rebels are pulling down 37.84 total rpg (ranked 38th) and have a rebound margin of 3.4 (ranked 83rd).
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The Mississippi State Bulldogs improved to 12-13 (5-7 SEC) on the season after defeating the Missouri Tigers, 77-74, this past Saturday. Mississippi State shot 56.1% from the field and 45.5% (5-11) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Roquez Johnson who had 22 points, 5 rebounds, and 1 assist. Mississippi State is ranked 173rd in the RPI Standings and has played the 125th ranked SOS. On the season, the Bulldogs have been led by Roquez Johnson (10.4 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 0.9 spg) and Gavin Ware (10.0 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 1.1 bpg). Mississippi State is averaging 62.0 ppg (ranked 294th) on 42.7% shooting (ranked 220th). The Bulldogs average just 8.4 apg (ranked 341st) and commit 14.9 turnovers per game (ranked 321st). Mississippi State is holding their opponents to an average of 62.3 ppg (ranked 76th) on 41.1% shooting (ranked 100th). The Bulldogs pull down 35.48 total rpg (ranked 129th) and have a rebound margin of 3.9 (ranked 63rd).
The Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Bulldogs are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. win and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Ole Miss had their 6 game winning streak snapped as they lost a heart-breaking to the Arkansas Razorbacks in which Ole Miss gave up the winning jumper with just 6.4 seconds remaining. The Bulldogs had a nice victory at Missouri and have won 3 of their last 5 games. Mississippi State has played well at home as their last 4 games at home have been decided by 6 points or less, however, this is a team that can struggle on the offensive end and is prone to turnovers. Even with the loss to Arkansas, Ole Miss has played well as of late and knows that they can't afford to lose any conference games against the lower-tier SEC teams if they want to be considered for an at-large bid in March. I think Ole Miss pulls away in this one late and covers this mid-range spread. Take Ole Miss to cover.