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Xavier Musketeers vs. Villanova Wildcats - 2/28/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Villanova Wildcats (26-2) at Xavier Musketeers (18-11)

College Basketball: Saturday, February 28, 2015 at 2:00 pm (Cintas Center)

The Line: Xavier Musketeers +3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX HD

The Villanova Wildcats will travel to the Cintas Center to take on the Xavier Musketeers this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The 6th-ranked Villanova Wildcats improved to 26-2 (13-2 Big East) on the season after defeating the Providence Friars, 89-61, this past Tuesday. Villanova shot 53.2% from the field and 52.0% (13-25) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Wildcats was Darrun Hilliard II who had 24 points, 4 rebounds, and 4 steals. Villanova is ranked 4th in the RPI Standings and has played the 41st ranked SOS. On the season, the Wildcats have been led by Darrun Hilliard II (14.7 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.0 apg) and Ryan Arcidiacono (10.3 ppg, 3.6 apg, 1.1 spg). Villanova is averaging 75.6 ppg (ranked 24th) on 46.7% shooting (ranked 46th). The Wildcats average 8.7 three-pointers per game (ranked 20th) and have a 1.41 assist/turnover ratio (ranked 15th). Villanova is holding their opponents to an average of 60.8 ppg (ranked 46th) on 40.5% shooting (ranked 76th). The Wildcats average 7.8 spg (ranked 34th) and have a turnover margin of 3.3 (ranked 17th).

Xavier Musketeers vs. Villanova Wildcats - 2/28/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Xavier Musketeers dropped to 26-2 (13-2 Big East) on the season after being defeated by the St. John's Red Storm, 58-57, this past Monday. Xavier shot 35.8% from the field and 46.2% (6-13) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Musketeers was Trevon Bluiett who had 17 points, 7 rebounds, and 3 assists. Xavier is ranked 31st in the RPI Standings and has played the 24th ranked SOS. On the season, the Musketeers have been led by Trevon Bluiett (12.3 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.9 apg) and Matt Stainbrook (11.6 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 2.5 apg). Xavier is averaging 75.1 ppg (ranked 28th) on 47.7% shooting (ranked 25th). The Musketeers average 16.9 apg (ranked 7th) and shoot 73.2% from the free-throw line (ranked 42nd). Xavier is holding their opponents to an average of 67.4 ppg (ranked 205th) on 43.6% shooting (ranked 211th). The Musketeers average 35.14 total rpg (ranked 145th) and have a turnover margin of 1.2 (ranked 97th).

The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 41-16 ATS in their last 57 games overall. The Musketeers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Big East.

Villanova used a big second half en route to an impressive victory against a very good Providence team. Xavier dropped a tough one against St. John's as they weren’t able to protect the ball against the Red Storm as they lost the turnover battle by a 20-8 margin. Villanova is battling for #1 seed and is has been great ATS (20-7-0), however, they have shown they can be vulnerable on the road this season with losses at Seton Hall and Georgetown. Xavier is 13-2 at home this season and as this game is more important for their NCAA chances, I think they bring their best effort in this one and score enough to keep it close enough to cover with the points. Take Xavier and the points in this one. 

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Xavier Musketeers +3.5

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