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Patriot League Round One-Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights - 3/3/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Army Black Knights (15-14) at Navy Midshipmen (12-18)

College Basketball: Tuesday, March 3, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Alumni Hall)

The Line: Navy Midshipmen -1 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Army Black Knight face the Navy Midshipmen at Alumni Hall (MD) in round one of the Patriot League playoffs.

 

Patriot League Round One-Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights - 3/3/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Navy Midshipmen have struggled defensively in their half court offensive style and the scoring hasn’t been up to the task in forging a 12-18 record and 8-10 mark in Patriot League action. The Midshipmen have been outscored 65-61 and allow 45.6% shooting with their own 44% not being quite enough. The Middies don’t have the big win that jumps off the page at us but a five defeat at Michigan State certainly was a signature loss if there is such a thing.  The key for this team is to hold opponents as close to 60 points as possible and hope for the best.

 

Even though Navy doesn’t typically light up the scoreboard it’s by design to protect a defense that has issues defending the shot because this team does have a few guys that can score the basketball. Worth Smith is top gun on the offense with over 15 points and 5.5 rebounds on 50% accuracy.  Brandon Venturini is the only other double digit scorer at 12 points and four boards while the rest of the team is a bunch of guys averaging between 4-9 points…six to be exact. Six of the top seven total at least three boards so we have an offense that most contribute in several areas.

 

The Army Black Knights are 15-14 but just 6-12 in a conference that is not known as a power conference. The Black Knights obviously are playing to win the Patriot League postseason but a strong showing could garner some attention from the CIT or CBI. The Black Knights score and allow around 73 points so I guess you could say they  lean on their offense more then most although  scoring has not been enough in losing eight of nine that has negated  a 14-6 start. The Black Knights haven’t played a tough out of conference schedule with a road win versus USC getting some attention.

 

To nobody’s surprise the Black Knights have plenty of scoring power with three double digit scorers leading the way. Kyle Wilson is the top scorer at nearly 18 points per game but at 38.6% he is a volume shooter and takes a lot of shots. Tanner Plomb might be the best player on the team with almost 16 points and nearly 5.5 boards on 43% shooting.  Dylann Fox and Kevin Ferguson combine for around 20 and over eleven boards. There is plenty of firepower on this team but since Army doesn’t go real deep I question whether fatigue had anything to do with the season ending slump.

 

The Black Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Patriot League.The Midshipmen are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and  are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. There isn’t many trends to go on but somehow this reminds me of the football rivalry. The only thing I see is Navy has played similar competition a bit better…

 

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Navy -1

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