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Western Michigan Broncos vs. Ohio Bobcats - MAC 1st-Round - 3/9/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ohio Bobcats (10-19) at Western Michigan Broncos (19-12)

College Basketball: Monday, March 9, 2015 at 8:00 pm (University Arena)

The Line: Western Michigan Broncos -9.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Time Warner Cable Sports Channel - New York; Time Warner Cable Sports Channel - Ohio

The Ohio Bobcats and the Western Michigan Broncos will face off at the University Arena (MI) this Monday night in the first round of the MAC Tournament.

The Ohio Bobcats earned the 11th seed in the MAC with a 5-13 conference record, while finishing the season 10-19 overall. Ohio has really struggled on the defensive end this season as they’ve not been able to create many turnovers all season. The Bobcats are ranked 227th in the RPI Standings and has played the 76th ranked SOS. Ohio’s biggest win of the season came at home against the Buffalo Bulls when they defeated Buffalo by a 63-61 margin.  

Western Michigan Broncos vs. Ohio Bobcats - MAC 1st-Round - 3/9/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Ohio averaged 67.4 ppg (ranked 174th) on 43.3% shooting (ranked 189th). The Bobcats average 7.2 three-pointers per game (ranked 80th) on 34.4% three-point shooting (ranked 167th). Ohio shoots 73.4% from the free-throw line (ranked 37th) however, average just 11.3 apg (ranked 263rd). Defensively, Ohio is allowing 71.9 ppg (ranked 299th) on 43.1% shooting (ranked 180th). The Bobcats average 25.1 defensive rpg (ranked 58th) however, has a -2.4 rebound margin (ranked 281st). Ohio has a turnover margin of -2.2 (ranked 308th). On the season, Ohio has been led by Maurice Daly Ndour (15.6 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.7 apg, 2.2 bpg) and Javarez Willis (15.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 3.1 apg).

The Western Michigan Broncos earned the 6th seed for the MAC tournament as they finished the season with a 10-8 conference record and 19-12 overall record. Western Michigan is a team that can put the ball in the basketball and shoot a very high percentage from both the field and three-point range. The Broncos are ranked 107th in the RPI Standings and has played the 167th ranked SOS. Western Michigan didn’t have a huge win in their out of conference schedule, however, they have been able to defeat both the MAC leaders (Central Michigan & Buffalo) at home this season.

Western Michigan averaged 71.5 ppg (ranked 76th) on 46.7% shooting (ranked 47th). The Broncos average 7.0 three-pointers per game (ranked 106th) on 37.0% three-point shooting (ranked 66th). Western Michigan averages 13.1 apg (ranked 143rd) and commits 12.2 turnovers per game (ranked 133rd). Defensively, Western Michigan is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 ppg (ranked 248th) on 44.1% shooting (ranked 235th). The Broncos are allowing teams to shoot 34.8% from beyond the arc (ranked 205th) and average just 2.2 bpg (ranked 311th). Western Michigan pulls down 32.35 total rpg (ranked 271st) and have a turnover margin of 0.5 (ranked 154th). Leading the way for Western Michigan on the season has been David Brown (15.1 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.3 spg) and Connar Tava (12.8 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 3.5 apg).

The Bobcats are 16-38 ATS in their last 54 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and just 1-7 in their last 8 games. The Broncos are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Ohio was able to snap a 7 game losing streak with an impressive offensive performance in which they shot 54.8% (17-31) from beyond the arc in their 95-65 victory against Miami (OH) in their regular season finale. Western Michigan also got a big win as they were able to defeat the regular season MAC champion, Central Michigan 74-22 in which their defense really got the job done against a dangerous Central Michigan offense. Western Michigan is 12-2 at home on the season as Ohio is just 1-10 in away games this season. Ohio has struggled all season on the road, and although they were impressive in their recent game, I don’t think that Western Michigan will have trouble taking care of business at home in this one. Take Western Michigan to cover in this one.  

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Western Michigan Broncos -9.5

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