Boston College vs. North Carolina - ACC Tournament - 3/11/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Boston College Eagles (13-18) at North Carolina Tar Heels (21-10)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 11, 2015 at 2:30 pm (Greensboro Coliseum)
The Line: North Carolina Tar Heels -12 -- Over/Under: 143 See the Latest Odds
The Boston College Eagles and North Carolina Tar Heels will battle at Greensboro Coliseum in the second round of the ACC Championship tomorrow afternoon.
The Boston College Eagles, seeded 12th in the ACC Tournament, overcame a 6-point deficit with just 1:30 remaining to defeat the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 66-65 yesterday afternoon. Boston College shot 40.0% (8-20) from beyond the arc and 76.2% (16-21) from the free-throw line to overcome being outrebounded by a 43-26 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Eagles was Olivier Hanlan who had 25 points, 8 rebounds, and 5 assists. Boston College is currently ranked 160th in the RPI Standings and has played the 37th ranked SOS. Leading the way for the Eagles on the season has been Olivier Hanlan (19.4 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 4.2 apg) and Aaron Brown (15.0 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.1 apg). Offensively, Boston College is averaging 65.9 ppg (ranked 210th) on 44.8% shooting (ranked 99th). The Eagles average 6.4 three-pointers per game (ranked 166th) and have a 1.07 assist/turnover ratio (ranked 131st). Defensively, Boston College is allowing their opponents to average 67.0 ppg (ranked 187th) on 44.0% shooting (ranked 229th). The Eagles are pulling down just 31.07 total rpg (ranked 312th) and have a rebound margin of -1.6 (ranked 253rd).
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The North Carolina Tar Heels finished the regular season with an overall record of 21-10 and earned the 5th seed in the ACC Tournament with an 11-7 conference record. North Carolina has a dangerous offense that can put up points in a hurry however, can have trouble with turnovers that lead to quick buckets for the opposing team. North Carolina is ranked 12th in the RPI Standings and has played the 2nd ranked SOS. Some of North Carolina’s biggest wins of the season came against Louisville (72-71), at NC State (81-79) and against Davidson (90-72).
North Carolina averaged 78.2 ppg (ranked 15th) on 47.3% shooting (ranked 29th). The Tar Heels average 17.7 apg (ranked 2nd) however, commit 12.7 turnovers per game (ranked 187th). Defensively, North Carolina is allowing their opponents to average 68.2 ppg (ranked 230th) on 39.5% shooting (ranked 34th). The Tar Heels pull down 41.77 total rpg (ranked 2nd) and have a rebounding margin of 8.4 (ranked 7th). North Carolina does defend the three-pointer well as they are holding teams to just 29.5% shooting from beyond the arc (ranked 12th). Leading the way for the Tar Heels on the season has been Marcus Paige (13.5 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 4.4 apg) and Brice Johnson (12.6 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 1.2 bpg).
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall however, just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
North Carolina was able to defeat Boston College in their only match-up of the season, 79-68, as the Tar Heels were able to hold the Eagles to just 21.7% (5-23) from beyond the arc and outrebounded Boston College by a 37-23 margin. Olivier Hanlan was able to put up 30 points in their first match-up the season and for Boston College to have a chance in this one, they’ll need Olivier Hanlan to once again have a big game. I was initially going to lend towards Boston College in this game if they got by Georgia Tech, however, after watching them get dominated on the boards as they did against Georgia Tech, I just don’t see how North Carolina doesn’t run away with this one as long as they don’t settle for the three-pointer and commit too many turnovers. The line has yet to be posted, however, unless Boston College is getting a ton of points, I’m taking North Carolina to cover in this one.
Update (3/10/15 9:41 pm) - UNC's Kennedy Meeks (12.0 ppg, 7.6 rpg) is listed as doubtful for the game due to an illness. This will take away UNC's biggest bodies down-low. The line is still not out on this one as of yet, so we'll have to see where the line is before making a final decision on this one.
Update(3/11/15 12:55pm) - Kennedy Meeks is out do an illinois. This line is at 12 as of right now, and although Meeks is out I think the fresh legs and size of UNC still covers this number. Let's go with UNC in this one.