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MWC Quarterfinal-Boise State Broncos vs. Air Force Falcons - 3/12/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Air Force Falcons (14-16) at Boise State Broncos (24-7)

College Basketball: Thursday, March 12, 2015 at 3:00 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)

The Line: Boise State Broncos -10 -- Over/Under: 121.5 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Boise State Broncos look for a win against the Air Force Falcons in a MWC quarterfinal bout.

 

MWC Quarterfinal-Boise State Broncos vs. Air Force Falcons - 3/12/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Boise State Broncos won the Mountain West regular season crown and their reward is a #25 ranking which they could improve on with a strong performance in the conference postseason. The Broncos went 24-7 overall and 14-4 in the Mountain West. Boise has the best combination of scoring and defense in the league as they outscored the opposition 71-60.

 

When the Broncos need a basket the ball will generally be in the hands of Derrick Marks who does everything well with emphasis on scoring at 19 points on nearly 51% marksmanship. James Webb II is an eleven point scorer on over 56% shooting while hauling in a team high 7.8 rebounds. This tandem are the obvious centerpieces of the offense but the supporting cast sees five players that score between 4-9 points.

 

The Air Force Falcons are looking to redeem themselves from a dismal season that saw them finish 10th in the Mountain West. The Falcons took the first step as they came back from a four point deficit at the half to New Mexico to earn a 68-61 victory. AFA was solid at both ends of the floor with the Lobos held to 41.7% accuracy while the Falcons countered at 48% which was decisive.

 

Zach Kocur was the go to scorer with a contest high 20 points on 6-12 marksmanship which included four makes from beyond the arc. Trevor Lyons followed with a ten point, five assist and five steal performance. Max Yon and Hayden Graham netted seven points apiece with Graham snaring a tem high seven rebounds. Five others added between 4-5 points to give the Falcons plenty of options.

 

The Falcons are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 neutral site games and  2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Air Force  are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Mountain West and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Broncos are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win and  10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Boise State are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall and  17-4 ATS in their last 21 vs. Mountain West. The Broncos are the choice unless something funky happens but this is too rich for my blood…

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Boise State -10

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