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Notre Dame vs. Miami - ACC Tournament - 3/12/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Hurricanes (21-11) at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (26-5)

College Basketball: Thursday, March 12, 2015 at 9:00 pm (Greensboro Coliseum)

The Line: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN / ACC Network

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes and Notre Dame Fighting Irish will face off at the Greensboro Coliseum this Thursday night in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament.

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (21-11), who earned the 6th seed in the ACC Tournament with a 10-8 conference record, defeated the Virginia Tech Hokies 59-49 last night to advance in the ACC Tournament. Miami (FL) was able to hold Virginia Tech to 20.0% (3-15) shooting from beyond arc and outrebound the Hokies by a 33-26 margin. Leading the way for the Hurricanes was Sheldon McClellan who had 16 points and 6 rebounds. Miami (FL) is ranked 61st in the RPI Standings and has played the 77th ranked SOS. On the season, the Hurricanes have been led by Sheldon McClellan (14.8 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 2.1 apg) and Angel Rodriguez (12.3 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 4.2 apg, 1.9 spg). Miami (FL) is averaging 68.9 ppg (ranked 137th) on 43.6% shooting (ranked 165th). The Hurricanes average 8.1 three-pointers per game (ranked 31st) on 36.4% three-point shooting (ranked 83rd). Defensively, Miami (FL) is holding their opponents to an average of 63.4 ppg (ranked 94th) on 42.5% shooting (ranked 149th). The Hurricanes average just 15.6 personal fouls per game and have a turnover margin of 1.3 (ranked 91st).

Notre Dame vs. Miami - ACC Tournament - 3/12/15  Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The 11th ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish finished the season with a 26-5 record and earned the 3seed in the ACC Tournament with a 14-4 conference record. Notre Dame has one of the most efficient offensives in all the country and can really light it up from anywhere on the court. The Fighting Irish is ranked 24th in the RPI Standings and has played the 117th ranked SOS. Notre Dame’s biggest wins of the season have come against Michigan State, UNC, Duke, and Louisville.

Notre Dame is averaging 78.9 ppg (ranked 13th) on 51.0% shooting (ranked 2nd). The Fighting Irish average 8.4 three-pointers per game (ranked 24th) on 39.0% three-point shooting (ranked 24th). Notre Dame commits just 9.2 turnovers per game (ranked 3rd) and has an assist/turnover ratio of 1.65 (ranked 3rd). Defensively, Notre Dame is allowing their opponents to average 65.3 ppg (ranked 143rd) on 42.4% shooting (ranked 144th). The Fighting Irish average 6.8 spg (ranked 102nd) and allow their opponents to shoot 33.8% from beyond the arc (ranked 157th). Notre Dame pulls down 33.23 total rpg (ranked 224th) and have a turnover margin of 2.2 (ranked 41st). On the season, the Fighting Irish have been led by Jerian Grant (16.8 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 6.7 apg) and Pat Connaughton (12.6 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.5 apg).

The Hurricanes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. The Fighting Irish are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 Thursday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Miami was able to get a big victory to help their case for the NCAA selection committee for an at-large bid however, but received some bad news that one of their leaders, Angel Rodriguez, is out for the rest of the season with an injury. Notre Dame won a close 75-70 game against Miami earlier in the season in which they shot 49.1% from the field. Miami probably will need this win to still have a chance for the NCAA tournament however, I feel that there are going to feel the effect of not have Angel Rodriguez in this game more than they did against Virginia Tech. I think Notre Dame will cover this small spread. Take Notre Dame to cover. 

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish -4.5

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