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Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State - Big 12 Championship - 3/12/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Oklahoma State Cowboys (18-12) at Oklahoma Sooners (21-9)

College Basketball: Thursday, March 12, 2015 at 9:30 pm (Sprint Center)

The Line: Oklahoma Sooners -3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Oklahoma State Cowboys and Oklahoma Sooners will battle at the Sprint Center this Thursday night in the quarterfinals of the Phillips 66 Big 12 Championship.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys finished the regular season with an 18-12 overall record and earned the 6th seed in the Big 12 Championship with a 8-10 conference record. Oklahoma State has two of the better scorers in the Big 12 in Le’Bryan Nash and Phil Forte III and has used a great defense to have success this season. Oklahoma State is ranked 45th in the RPI Standings and has played the 17th ranked SOS. Oklahoma State’s biggest wins of the season have come against Baylor (twice), Kansas, and Texas (twice).

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State - Big 12 Championship - 3/12/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Oklahoma State averages 67.9 ppg (ranked 160th) on 44.3% shooting (ranked 122nd).The Cowboys average 7.1 three-pointers per game (ranked 92nd) on 35.7% three-point shooting (ranked 108th). Oklahoma State averages 12.3 turnovers per game (ranked 151st) and is shooting 73.1% from the free-throw line. Defensively, Oklahoma State is holding their opponents to an average of 62.3 ppg (ranked 68th) on 40.0% shooting (ranked 56th). The Cowboys average 8.0 spg (ranked 22nd) and 4.9 bpg (ranked 34th). On the season, Oklahoma State has been led by Le’Bryan Nash (16.8 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 2.0 apg) and Phil Forte III (15.5 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.9 spg).

The 15th ranked Oklahoma Sooners finished the regular season with a 21-9 record and earned the 3rd seed in the Big 12 Tournament with a 12-6 conference record. Oklahoma’s success has largely come from their drastic improvement on the defensive end as they are no longer just a one-dimensional offensive team. The Sooners are ranked 13th in the RPI standings and has played the 16th ranked SOS. Oklahoma’s biggest wins of the season have come against Butler, Baylor, Iowa State, and Kansas.

Oklahoma averages 72.4 ppg (ranked 56th) on 44.0% shooting (ranked 142nd). The Sooners average 6.8 three-pointers per game (ranked 121st) and are shooting 72.7% from the free-throw line (ranked 49th). Oklahoma commits 12.3 turnovers per game (ranked 145th) and has a 1.03 assist/turnover ratio (ranked 152nd). Defensively, Oklahoma is holding their opponents to an average of 63.1 ppg (ranked 88th) on 38.4% shooting (ranked 15th). The Sooners average 7.1 spg (ranked 78th) and 5.2 bpg (ranked 20th). Oklahoma pulls down 37.83 total rpg (ranked 31st) and has a turnover margin of 1.9 (ranked 53rd). Leading the way for the Sooners on the season have been Buddy Hield (17.4 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.8 apg) and Isaiah Cousins (12.2 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 2.2 apg).

The Cowboys are 4-10 in their last 14 neutral site games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Oklahoma was able to defeat Oklahoma State in both matchups of the Bedlam Series this year. Oklahoma was able to hold Oklahoma State to under 40.0% shooting from the field and under 30.0% shooting from beyond the arc in both match-ups this season. Oklahoma State has really struggled down the stretch as they lost 5 of their last 6 games of the season as their defensive has looked not as strong as it was earlier in the season. I think Oklahoma is just too good on both ends of the ball and as although Oklahoma State do have a couple of great playmakers in Nash and Forte III, the Sooners will be too much for the Cowboys in this one. Take Oklahoma to cover this line. 

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Oklahoma Sooners -3.5

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