Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan - 3/12/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Eastern Michigan Eagles (21-12) at Toledo Rockets (19-12)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 12, 2015 at 6:30 pm (Quicken Loans Arena)
The Line: Toledo Rockets -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Time Warner Cable Sports Channel - New York; Time Warner Cable Sports Channel - Ohio
The Eastern Michigan Eagles and Toledo Rockets will battle at the Quicken Loans Arena this Thursday night in the quarterfinals of the MAC Men’s Tournament.
The Eastern Michigan Eagles (21-12) was able to hold off the Bowling Green Falcons 73-67 on Wednesday night to advance in the MAC Tournament. Eastern Michigan allowed Bowling Green to shoot 53.2% from the field however, was able to generate 14 more shots and shoot 40.9% from beyond the arc as they caused the Falcons into committing 15 turnovers. Leading the way for the Eagles was Raven Lee who had 27 points and 3 rebounds. Eastern Michigan is ranked 146th in the RPI Standings and has played the 204th ranked SOS. On the season the Eagles have been led by Raven Lee (16.4 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.4 spg) and Karrington Ward (12.6 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 1.3 spg, 1.3 bpg). Eastern Michigan is averaging 69.4 ppg (ranked 121st) on 41.4% shooting (ranked 275th). The Eagles average 6.4 three-pointers per game (ranked 165th) and shoot 71.3% from the free-throw line (ranked 94th). Defensively, Eastern Michigan is holding their opponents to an average of 62.9 ppg (ranked 83rd) on 37.6% shooting (ranked 6th). The Eagles average 8.8 spg (ranked 10th) and have a turnover margin of 3.1 (ranked 22nd).
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The Toledo Rockets finished the regular season with a 21-12 record and earned the 4th seed in the MAC Tournament with an 11-7 conference record. Toledo is an experienced team that is led by its guard play however, have struggled defensively throughout the entire year. Toledo is ranked 77th in the RPI Standings and has played the 93rd ranked SOS. Toledo’s biggest wins of the season have come against Cleveland State and Buffalo.
Toledo averages 75.5 ppg (ranked 25th) on 47.0% shooting (ranked 36th). The Rockets average 6.0 three-pointers per game (ranked 208th) on 36.9% three-point shooting (ranked 68th). Toledo shoots 74.4% from the free-throw line (ranked 25th) and commits 12.3 turnovers per game (ranked 149th). Defensively, Toledo is allowing their opponents to average 71.0 ppg (ranked 288th) on 43.8% shooting (ranked 212th). The Rockets average 17.0 personal fouls per game (ranked 79th) and 3.1 spg (ranked 210th). Toledo pulls down 36.19 total rpg (ranked 85th) and has a rebound margin of 3.5 (ranked 71st). On the season, the Rockets have been led by Julius Brown (16.4 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.0 spg) and Justin Drummond (13.0 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 2.0 apg).
The Eagles are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win however, are 1-9 ATS in their last Thursday games. The Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Eastern Michigan and Toledo split their regular season series as Eastern Michigan won at home 85-59 and lost 84-60 at Toledo. Eastern Michigan has had to play the last two nights and although their zone defensive should help save some energy, I think the senior led Toledo Rockets will be looking to get revenge from their 85-59 loss that happened just about a week ago. I think Toledo is going to make a run in this tournament that they'll run away with this in the second half. Take Toledo to cover.