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Virginia vs. Florida State - ACC Tournament - 3/12/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Florida State Seminoles (17-15) at Virginia Cavaliers (28-2)

College Basketball: Thursday, March 12, 2015 at 12:00 pm (Greensboro Coliseum)

The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Florida State Seminoles and Virginia Cavaliers will face off Thursday afternoon at the Greensboro Coliseum in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament.

The Florida State Seminoles (17-15, 8-10 ACC), who earned the 9th seed in the ACC-tournament, defeated the Clemson Tigers 76-73 in their first round match-up on Wednesday afternoon. Florida State shot 54.5% from the field and 41.2% from the free-throw lead and was able to barley hang out to a 20-point second half lead in the victory. Leading the way for the Seminoles was Xavier Rathan-Mayes who had 30 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 assists. Florida State is ranked 117th in the RPI Standings and has played the 76th ranked SOS. On the season, the Seminoles have been led by Xavier Rathan-Mayes (14.4 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 4.4 apg) and Montay Brandon (11.9 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.1 spg). Florida State is averaging 67.0 ppg (ranked 183rd) on 45.9% shooting (ranked 72nd). The Seminoles average 14.6 turnovers per game (ranked 316th) and average 11.7 apg (ranked 248th). Defensively, Florida State is allowing their opponents to average 67.1 ppg (ranked 188th) on 41.8% shooting (ranked 119th). The Seminoles average 4.7 bpg (ranked 42nd) and have a rebound margin of 1.5 (ranked 134th).

Virginia vs. Florida State - ACC Tournament - 3/12/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The 3rd ranked Virginia Cavaliers finished the regular season with a 28-2 record and earned the number 1 seed in the ACC Tournament with a 16-2 conference record. Virginia used a stifling defensive that was one of the best in the country to dominate teams throughout the season. The Cavaliers are ranked 4th in the RPI Standings and has played the 24th ranked SOS. Virginia’s biggest wins of the season have come against Notre Dame, Maryland, UNC, and Louisville.

Virginia has averaged 65.5 ppg (ranked 219th) on 46.3% shooting (ranked 54th). The Cavaliers average 5.1 three-pointers per game (ranked 285th) on 36.2% three-point shooting (ranked 92nd). Virginia commits 9.2 turnovers per game (ranked 4th) and has a 1.42 assist/turnover ratio (ranked 14th). Defensively, Virginia is holding their opponents to 50.2 ppg (ranked 1st) on 35.7% shooting (ranked 3rd). The Cavaliers average 4.4 bpg (ranked 70th) and 5.5 spg (ranked 257th). Virginia pulls down 36.73 total rpg (ranked 61st) and has a rebound margin of 8.3 (ranked 8th). On the season, the Cavaliers have been led by Malcolm Brogdon (13.7 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 2.6 apg) and Justin Anderson (13.4 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 2.0 apg). Justin Anderson is doubtful for the game due to an appendix surgery.

The Seminoles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.

Florida State has an impressive victory outside of the last 5 minutes, as they were really able to score the basketball against an above average Clemson defense. Virginia was able to defeat the Florida State in a low scoring 51-41 affair in which Florida State shot just 21.1% from the field. Virginia has one of the best defensives in the country, however, with Justin Anderson out, they can really struggle finding points on the offensive end. I don’t think Virginia is going to lose this game, but Florida State’s offense did look good today, and I think their defense will be able to keep this score close enough for them to cover. Take Florida State and the points. 

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Florida State Seminoles +12.5

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